Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.7%Mississippi State

93.3%New Mexico

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico -18.3

PROJECTED TOTAL159.1

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico -1393

New Mexico

26-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 70

Projected Total159.1

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 89

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricNew Mexico

44.6MMH Power Index63.7

107.4Offensive Efficiency114.8

113.2Defensive Efficiency100.2

-5.8Net Efficiency14.6

5.0Strength of Schedule2.0

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency8.3

72.3Tempo70.7

51.6%Effective FG%53.7%

16.1%Turnover Rate14.8%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

30.9%Free Throw Rate36.5%

-4.2Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.7–44.6), offensive efficiency (114.8–107.4), defensive efficiency (100.2–113.2), net efficiency (14.6–-5.8).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.0–2.0).

Final

Mississippi State

78—80

New Mexico

New Mexico by 2 • 72.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATNew Mexico

31-68FG26-63

46.0%FG%41.0%

9-293PT9-27

31.0%3PT%33.0%

7-13FT19-25

54.0%FT%76.0%

36Rebounds46

8Offensive Rebounds13

13Assists11

7Turnovers10

6Steals2

4Blocks—

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	36	11-25	6-13	1-3	2	4	3	1	29
Jayden Epps	G	34	8-17	2-6	3-5	2	6	1	0	21
Brandon Walker	F	16	3-3	1-1	1-2	3	1	0	0	8
Jamarion Davis-Fleming	F	21	3-3	0-0	0-1	6	0	0	1	6
Quincy Ballard	C	19	3-5	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	1	6
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	25	0-4	0-2	2-2	3	1	1	1	2
Amier Ali	G	18	1-7	0-5	0-0	8	0	0	0	2
Ja'Borri McGhee	G	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
King Grace	G	7	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Achor Achor	F	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	0	0
Dellquan Warren	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Tomislav Buljan	F	29	6-11	1-2	6-8	21	1	0	19
Uriah Tenette	G	30	3-8	2-4	5-6	5	3	0	13
Deyton Albury	G	23	5-9	1-2	2-2	1	0	0	13
Antonio Chol	F	29	5-11	2-5	0-0	5	0	0	12
Chris Howell	G	25	1-4	0-1	4-4	2	3	2	6
Jake Hall	G	24	2-6	2-6	0-0	1	1	0	6
Luke Haupt	G	22	1-3	1-3	2-3	6	3	0	5
JT Rock	C	11	2-8	0-3	0-1	2	0	0	4
Kevin Patton Jr.	G	7	1-3	0-1	0-1	3	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

72.6Possessions72.6

107.4Offensive Efficiency110.2

110.2Defensive Efficiency107.4

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

52.2%Effective FG%48.4%

52.6%True Shooting %53.4%

9.6%Turnover Rate13.9%

19.1%Free Throw Rate39.7%

42.6%3-Point Rate42.9%

1.86Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

New Mexico won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 72.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.