Central Connecticut

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.7%Central Connecticut

66.3%Rutgers

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADRutgers -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL146.2

MODEL MONEYLINERutgers -197

Rutgers

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 71

Projected Total146.2

Projected ScoreRutgers 75

Team Comparison

Central ConnecticutMetricRutgers

44.4MMH Power Index45.9

111.4Offensive Efficiency104.2

107.0Defensive Efficiency112.2

4.4Net Efficiency-8.0

-7.7Strength of Schedule3.9

-0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.6

66.3Tempo67.4

54.0%Effective FG%47.4%

15.9%Turnover Rate15.0%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

31.3%Free Throw Rate36.3%

2.9Average Margin-5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (111.4–104.2), defensive efficiency (107.0–112.2), net efficiency (4.4–-8.0), recent form (-0.5–-1.6).

Rutgers COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (45.9–44.4), strength of schedule (3.9–-7.7), ball security (15.0–15.9).

Final

Central Connecticut

67—54

Rutgers

Central Connecticut by 13 • 62.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ConnecticutTEAM STATRutgers

24-61FG21-58

39.0%FG%36.0%

9-213PT5-19

43.0%3PT%26.0%

10-14FT7-10

71.0%FT%70.0%

41Rebounds37

13Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists10

7Turnovers10

6Steals4

5Blocks3

13Fouls13

Player Box Score

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darin Smith Jr.	F	34	7-15	3-8	4-4	5	1	1	0	21
Jay Rodgers	G	28	5-7	3-3	2-2	1	9	0	0	15
Max Frazier	F	24	7-13	0-0	0-1	13	0	3	2	14
Melo Sanchez	G	24	2-8	2-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
James Jones	G	33	1-5	1-1	1-3	5	3	1	2	4
Ja'Kobe Williams	G	20	1-6	0-2	2-2	5	1	1	0	4
Nico Ashley	F	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Jayden Mott	F	13	0-3	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	1
Gabe Spinelli	G	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Elijah Parker	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Rutgers

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tariq Francis	G	30	7-16	2-7	3-3	2	3	1	0	19
Denis Badalau	F	31	3-8	2-4	3-4	7	2	1	0	11
Dylan Grant	F	27	2-10	1-3	1-2	4	1	0	0	6
Emmanuel Ogbole	C	20	3-3	0-0	0-0	10	0	1	2	6
Bryce Dortch	F	14	2-3	0-0	0-1	4	0	1	0	4
Lino Mark	G	9	2-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Jamichael Davis	G	32	1-6	0-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	2
Darren Buchanan Jr.	G	9	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Chris Nwuli	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	0
Baye Fall	C	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Harun Zrno	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kaden Powers	G	4	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.3Possessions62.3

107.5Offensive Efficiency86.7

86.7Defensive Efficiency107.5

20.9Net Efficiency-20.9

46.7%Effective FG%40.5%

49.5%True Shooting %43.0%

11.4%Turnover Rate15.9%

23.0%Free Throw Rate17.2%

34.4%3-Point Rate32.8%

2.14Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 62.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.