Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.3%Northern Colorado

76.7%St. Thomas-Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. Thomas-Minnesota -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL159.6

MODEL MONEYLINESt. Thomas-Minnesota -329

St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 76

Projected Total159.6

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 84

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricSt. Thomas-Minnesota

53.7MMH Power Index59.8

116.0Offensive Efficiency116.8

107.6Defensive Efficiency102.2

8.4Net Efficiency14.6

-4.3Strength of Schedule-3.6

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency14.7

71.1Tempo70.0

56.9%Effective FG%59.2%

15.3%Turnover Rate13.9%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %22.1%

27.8%Free Throw Rate35.2%

6.0Average Margin10.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–53.7), offensive efficiency (116.8–116.0), defensive efficiency (102.2–107.6), net efficiency (14.6–8.4).

Northern Colorado COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (27.9–22.1).

Final

Northern Colorado

72—73

St. Thomas-Minnesota

St. Thomas-Minnesota by 1 • 72.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATSt. Thomas-Minnesota

24-53FG28-64

45.0%FG%44.0%

7-243PT7-26

29.0%3PT%27.0%

17-21FT10-16

81.0%FT%63.0%

33Rebounds31

7Offensive Rebounds11

17Assists12

18Turnovers11

3Steals10

3Blocks2

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quinn Denker	G	36	6-11	2-6	7-9	1	6	0	0	21
Ibu Yamazaki	F	32	6-12	3-6	2-3	2	2	1	1	17
Brock Wisne	F	33	4-11	0-1	2-2	7	2	1	0	10
Egan Shields	C	14	3-4	0-0	2-3	7	2	0	1	8
Vincent Delano	G	17	2-4	1-3	2-2	0	2	0	0	7
Ring Nyeri	F	30	2-6	1-4	0-0	6	2	0	1	5
Zach Bloch	G	23	0-1	0-1	2-2	4	1	1	0	2
Chancellor White	G	3	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ariik Mawien	G	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nolan Minessale	G	35	8-14	2-6	2-2	5	5	0	0	20
Nick Janowski	G	29	6-13	3-6	2-2	5	0	0	0	17
Ben Oosterbaan	F	26	4-6	2-4	0-1	4	1	1	0	10
Isaiah Johnson-Arigu	F	21	4-12	0-3	0-1	3	1	2	1	8
Ryan Dufault	G	19	4-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	3	0	8
Carter Bjerke	F	27	1-7	0-5	3-6	2	1	2	0	5
Austin Herro	G	25	1-4	0-1	3-4	3	2	1	1	5
Ryan Lafferty	G	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Jermaine Coleman	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.8Possessions72.8

98.9Offensive Efficiency100.3

100.3Defensive Efficiency98.9

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

51.9%Effective FG%49.2%

57.2%True Shooting %51.0%

24.3%Turnover Rate15.4%

39.6%Free Throw Rate25.0%

45.3%3-Point Rate40.6%

0.94Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

St. Thomas-Minnesota won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 72.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.