Denver

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.0%Denver

77.0%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -9.0

PROJECTED TOTAL159.7

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -335

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDenver 75

Projected Total159.7

Projected ScoreColorado State 84

Team Comparison

DenverMetricColorado State

49.1MMH Power Index55.4

119.2Offensive Efficiency117.1

119.2Defensive Efficiency109.9

0.0Net Efficiency7.2

-2.6Strength of Schedule0.4

4.0Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

69.5Tempo64.7

55.3%Effective FG%58.6%

14.2%Turnover Rate18.3%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

35.3%Free Throw Rate41.2%

0.0Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–49.1), defensive efficiency (109.9–119.2), net efficiency (7.2–0.0), strength of schedule (0.4–-2.6).

Denver COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.2–117.1), ball security (14.2–18.3), offensive rebounding (30.9–29.2).

Final

Denver

83—81

Colorado State

Denver by 2 • 60.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DenverTEAM STATColorado State

29-57FG19-39

51.0%FG%49.0%

10-213PT8-18

48.0%3PT%44.0%

15-19FT35-44

79.0%FT%80.0%

22Rebounds33

9Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists11

4Turnovers11

4Steals2

—Blocks3

29Fouls20

Player Box Score

Denver

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Zane Nelson	G	30	6-10	3-4	7-8	3	2	0	22
Carson Johnson	G	35	6-11	3-5	3-4	1	3	0	18
Julius Rollins	G	29	5-11	2-5	4-5	3	0	0	16
Logan Kinsey	F	21	5-10	1-3	0-0	1	1	1	11
Gabe Oldham	F	27	3-5	0-0	1-2	7	1	0	7
Shaun Wysocki	F	31	3-6	0-2	0-0	4	3	3	6
Jeremiah Burke	F	17	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	3
Didier Maleng	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kyle Jorgensen	F	33	7-11	3-4	12-14	6	3	0	1	29
Carey Booth	F	29	4-6	0-2	10-10	10	0	0	2	18
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	34	3-7	3-5	2-2	1	1	0	0	11
Jevin Muniz	G	30	3-6	2-3	1-1	1	2	0	0	9
Josh Pascarelli	G	35	1-5	0-2	2-2	6	4	2	0	4
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	9	0-1	0-1	4-4	0	0	0	0	4
Jase Butler	G	13	0-2	0-1	3-4	3	1	0	0	3
Rashaan Mbemba	F	8	1-1	0-0	1-6	1	0	0	0	3
Jojo McIver	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Nikola Djapa	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.0Possessions60.0

138.3Offensive Efficiency135.0

135.0Defensive Efficiency138.3

3.3Net Efficiency-3.3

59.6%Effective FG%59.0%

62.9%True Shooting %67.6%

6.6%Turnover Rate18.7%

33.3%Free Throw Rate112.8%

36.8%3-Point Rate46.2%

2.50Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Denver won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 60.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.