Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.1%Northwestern State

92.9%Grand Canyon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGrand Canyon -17.0

PROJECTED TOTAL139.5

MODEL MONEYLINEGrand Canyon -1308

Grand Canyon

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 61

Projected Total139.5

Projected ScoreGrand Canyon 78

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricGrand Canyon

41.3MMH Power Index59.8

104.0Offensive Efficiency109.2

109.0Defensive Efficiency99.1

-5.0Net Efficiency10.1

-1.6Strength of Schedule2.0

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency9.7

63.6Tempo69.3

49.5%Effective FG%52.1%

17.6%Turnover Rate17.6%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %31.2%

41.2%Free Throw Rate41.0%

-3.2Average Margin7.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Grand Canyon HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGrand Canyon holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–41.3), offensive efficiency (109.2–104.0), defensive efficiency (99.1–109.0), net efficiency (10.1–-5.0).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (41.2–41.0).

Final

Northwestern State

72—85

Grand Canyon

Grand Canyon by 13 • 69.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATGrand Canyon

25-52FG24-49

48.0%FG%49.0%

6-203PT7-22

30.0%3PT%32.0%

16-24FT30-39

67.0%FT%77.0%

17Rebounds41

3Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists15

10Turnovers12

4Steals3

3Blocks2

27Fouls23

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Thomas	G	32	9-18	1-5	5-5	3	4	0	0	24
Landyn Jumawan	G	31	4-8	3-6	3-4	2	3	1	0	14
Kordrick Turner	F	24	3-4	0-0	4-8	2	1	0	0	10
Omar Adegbola	G	18	3-7	2-4	0-0	0	0	1	0	8
J.C. Riley Jr.	C	28	3-5	0-0	1-1	2	2	1	1	7
Chip Brunt	G	15	1-2	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	0	3
Justin Redmond	G	14	0-3	0-2	2-2	3	0	1	0	2
Moustapha Loum	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-2	3	1	0	1	2
Izzy Miles	G	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Chris Mubiru	G	15	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Grand Canyon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Henley	G	25	5-11	0-3	12-13	3	4	2	1	22
Makaih Williams	G	18	5-9	2-6	0-0	0	2	0	0	12
Efe Demirel	C	22	3-3	0-0	5-6	2	1	1	1	11
Dusty Stromer	G	32	2-7	2-5	4-4	6	2	0	0	10
Brian Moore Jr.	G	25	2-5	0-0	5-6	5	1	0	0	9
Nana Owusu-Anane	F	24	3-6	1-3	1-4	12	1	0	0	8
Caleb Shaw	G	18	3-5	1-3	1-2	5	2	0	0	8
Kaleb Smith	F	17	1-3	1-2	1-2	4	1	0	0	4
Wilhelm Breidenbach	F	18	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	0	1
Evan Boisdur	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.0Possessions69.0

104.3Offensive Efficiency123.2

123.2Defensive Efficiency104.3

-18.8Net Efficiency18.8

53.8%Effective FG%56.1%

56.8%True Shooting %62.9%

14.2%Turnover Rate17.8%

46.2%Free Throw Rate79.6%

38.5%3-Point Rate44.9%

1.20Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Grand Canyon won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 69.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.