UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.1%UC Davis

72.9%Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL160.0

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado -269

Colorado

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 77

Projected Total160.0

Projected ScoreColorado 83

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricColorado

48.4MMH Power Index52.7

107.2Offensive Efficiency112.9

103.7Defensive Efficiency112.4

3.5Net Efficiency0.5

-1.9Strength of Schedule5.1

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

72.4Tempo71.0

52.3%Effective FG%53.0%

17.7%Turnover Rate14.6%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

41.5%Free Throw Rate37.9%

2.5Average Margin0.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.7–48.4), offensive efficiency (112.9–107.2), strength of schedule (5.1–-1.9), shooting efficiency (53.0–52.3).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–112.4), net efficiency (3.5–0.5), recent form (-0.1–-7.7).

Final

UC Davis

79—95

Colorado

Colorado by 16 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATColorado

31-60FG34-57

52.0%FG%60.0%

8-243PT9-15

33.0%3PT%60.0%

9-9FT18-21

100.0%FT%86.0%

26Rebounds29

7Offensive Rebounds7

16Assists24

12Turnovers10

5Steals8

3Blocks5

19Fouls12

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Wilson	G	31	8-15	3-5	2-2	2	2	1	0	21
Niko Rocak	F	28	6-7	2-3	5-5	6	2	0	2	19
Nils Cooper	G	32	6-8	0-2	2-2	9	1	0	0	14
Isaiah Chappell	F	26	3-8	1-5	0-0	4	0	1	0	7
Brayden Fagbemi	G	23	3-4	1-1	0-0	0	6	1	0	7
Omer Suljanovic	F	17	2-6	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Connor Sevilla	G	29	1-7	0-4	0-0	0	2	2	0	2
Jalen Stokes	G	11	1-4	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	1	2
Chase Rawlins	G	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Abdullah Amzil	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bangot Dak	F	30	8-10	0-0	2-3	5	3	1	1	18
Felix Kossaras	G	24	5-7	3-5	4-6	2	0	1	1	17
Sebastian Rancik	F	31	5-9	1-2	4-4	7	5	0	2	15
Barrington Hargress	G	32	5-7	1-3	2-2	1	9	1	0	13
Alon Michaeli	F	18	4-9	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	10
Isaiah Johnson	G	22	2-4	2-2	2-2	3	1	0	0	8
Josiah Sanders	G	15	3-6	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Jalin Holland	G	9	1-3	1-1	2-2	1	2	2	0	5
Elijah Malone	C	15	1-2	1-1	0-0	4	2	2	1	3
Ian Inman	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Fawaz Ifaola	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Andrew Crawford	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

113.3Offensive Efficiency136.3

136.3Defensive Efficiency113.3

-23.0Net Efficiency23.0

58.3%Effective FG%67.5%

61.5%True Shooting %70.9%

17.3%Turnover Rate14.3%

15.0%Free Throw Rate36.8%

40.0%3-Point Rate26.3%

1.33Assist / Turnover2.40

Game Summary

Colorado won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.