Arkansas State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.0%Arkansas State

74.0%SMU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSMU -7.2

PROJECTED TOTAL165.8

MODEL MONEYLINESMU -285

SMU

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas State 79

Projected Total165.8

Projected ScoreSMU 86

Team Comparison

Arkansas StateMetricSMU

57.7MMH Power Index62.5

113.1Offensive Efficiency118.2

105.3Defensive Efficiency109.6

7.8Net Efficiency8.6

-1.0Strength of Schedule7.0

15.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

73.3Tempo71.1

52.7%Effective FG%55.7%

19.4%Turnover Rate15.7%

38.1%Offensive Rebound %35.0%

39.6%Free Throw Rate31.3%

5.8Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

SMU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSMU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (62.5–57.7), offensive efficiency (118.2–113.1), net efficiency (8.6–7.8), strength of schedule (7.0–-1.0).

Arkansas State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.3–109.6), recent form (15.2–-1.3), offensive rebounding (38.1–35.0).

Final

Arkansas State

69—100

SMU

SMU by 31 • 80.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas StateTEAM STATSMU

26-63FG41-75

41.0%FG%55.0%

6-293PT8-23

21.0%3PT%35.0%

11-16FT10-16

69.0%FT%63.0%

48Rebounds30

21Offensive Rebounds12

6Assists29

32Turnovers8

4Steals26

2Blocks4

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Caldwell	G	30	8-16	0-6	4-5	4	1	1	0	20
Christian Harmon	G	25	6-9	2-5	2-2	2	0	1	0	16
Royal Blue Smith	G	17	3-5	2-4	0-0	2	1	2	0	8
Matt Hayman	G	18	3-9	1-5	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Jaxon Ellingsworth	F	27	2-7	1-4	0-0	8	1	0	0	5
Chudi Dioramma	F	20	1-4	0-0	3-7	5	0	0	1	5
Chandler Jackson	G	19	2-6	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Jalen Hampton	G	16	0-2	0-1	2-2	9	0	0	0	2
Aly Tounkara	F	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	2
Fredy-Salam Sylla	G	13	0-4	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

SMU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
B.J. Edwards	G	34	9-13	3-6	3-4	5	13	10	0	24
Boopie Miller	G	30	6-13	2-6	3-4	0	6	7	0	17
Jaron Pierre Jr.	G	28	6-16	0-6	3-5	4	3	2	0	15
Samet Yigitoglu	C	25	7-10	0-0	0-2	5	1	2	2	14
Corey Washington	F	31	5-8	2-3	1-1	6	1	4	0	13
Jermaine O'Neal Jr.	F	19	5-9	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	1	11
B.J. Davis-Ray	G	11	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	4
Mitchell Holmes	F	16	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	1	2
Nigel Walls	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Chance Puryear	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

80.1Possessions80.1

86.1Offensive Efficiency124.8

124.8Defensive Efficiency86.1

-38.7Net Efficiency38.7

46.0%Effective FG%60.0%

48.9%True Shooting %60.5%

39.2%Turnover Rate10.2%

25.4%Free Throw Rate21.3%

46.0%3-Point Rate30.7%

0.19Assist / Turnover3.63

Game Summary

SMU won by 31 points. The game played at approximately 80.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.