New Orleans

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.5%New Orleans

62.5%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFresno State -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINEFresno State -167

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Orleans 73

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreFresno State 78

Team Comparison

New OrleansMetricFresno State

47.1MMH Power Index47.1

107.0Offensive Efficiency104.9

109.6Defensive Efficiency104.9

-2.6Net Efficiency0.0

0.2Strength of Schedule1.5

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

70.8Tempo69.4

50.5%Effective FG%51.3%

20.2%Turnover Rate18.2%

35.7%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

48.4%Free Throw Rate35.5%

-1.8Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fresno State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFresno State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.9–109.6), net efficiency (0.0–-2.6), strength of schedule (1.5–0.2), shooting efficiency (51.3–50.5).

New Orleans COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.0–104.9), recent form (0.4–-6.0), offensive rebounding (35.7–28.2).

Final

New Orleans

76—85

Fresno State

Fresno State by 9 • 77.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New OrleansTEAM STATFresno State

25-58FG27-57

43.0%FG%47.0%

6-253PT9-27

24.0%3PT%33.0%

20-31FT22-28

65.0%FT%79.0%

36Rebounds36

12Offensive Rebounds9

8Assists13

18Turnovers15

6Steals6

2Blocks1

21Fouls24

Player Box Score

New Orleans

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jakevion Buckley	G	35	9-16	3-6	4-5	14	2	1	1	25
MJ Thomas	F	31	4-5	0-0	8-12	8	4	1	0	16
TJ Cope	G	26	4-8	0-2	1-4	1	0	1	0	9
Enzo Boudouma	F	24	3-10	0-6	3-6	2	0	1	1	9
Irish Coquia	G	10	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Coleton Benson	G	27	2-7	1-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Panagiotis Pagonis	F	30	1-4	0-1	2-2	5	1	2	0	4
Kedrick Osby	F	13	0-2	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Jamal Chretien II	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Churchill Abass	C	1	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jake Heidbreder	G	39	11-14	4-6	7-8	5	1	1	0	33
Zaon Collins	G	34	3-7	1-3	7-8	10	7	3	0	14
DeShawn Gory	F	29	3-9	2-6	3-4	3	2	1	0	11
Gasper Kocevar	C	22	3-5	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	0	9
DJ Stickman	G	22	2-4	1-2	1-2	2	2	1	0	6
Wilson Jacques	C	23	2-4	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	0	5
Bastien Rieber	G	7	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Cameron Faas	G	13	1-6	0-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jac Mani	F	8	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
David Douglas Jr.	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Makhan Diouf	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.5Possessions77.5

98.1Offensive Efficiency109.7

109.7Defensive Efficiency98.1

-11.6Net Efficiency11.6

48.3%Effective FG%55.3%

52.3%True Shooting %60.5%

22.9%Turnover Rate19.7%

53.4%Free Throw Rate49.1%

43.1%3-Point Rate47.4%

0.44Assist / Turnover0.87

Game Summary

Fresno State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 77.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.