Grambling

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.4%Grambling

91.6%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -15.0

PROJECTED TOTAL140.0

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -1090

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGrambling 63

Projected Total140.0

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 78

Team Comparison

GramblingMetricCalifornia Baptist

41.4MMH Power Index58.3

100.7Offensive Efficiency106.5

100.4Defensive Efficiency99.0

0.3Net Efficiency7.5

-5.7Strength of Schedule1.8

-0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

69.9Tempo68.2

49.2%Effective FG%48.8%

20.9%Turnover Rate17.9%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

42.2%Free Throw Rate37.0%

0.2Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–41.4), offensive efficiency (106.5–100.7), defensive efficiency (99.0–100.4), net efficiency (7.5–0.3).

Grambling COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (49.2–48.8), free throw rate (42.2–37.0).

Final

Grambling

59—72

California Baptist

California Baptist by 13 • 64.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GramblingTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

17-45FG27-46

38.0%FG%59.0%

4-183PT6-14

22.0%3PT%43.0%

21-23FT12-17

91.0%FT%71.0%

20Rebounds32

5Offensive Rebounds8

3Assists14

14Turnovers18

7Steals11

—Blocks4

16Fouls22

Player Box Score

Grambling

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Derrius Ward	G	26	7-10	2-4	4-4	0	1	1	20
Antonio Munoz	F	27	3-8	0-1	6-7	1	0	2	12
Roderick Coffee III	F	24	3-5	1-3	2-2	1	1	0	9
Jimel Lane	F	25	1-8	1-5	4-4	7	0	0	7
Devyn Franklin	G	10	1-4	0-2	3-4	1	0	1	5
Randarius Jones	C	22	2-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	4
Jamil Muttilib	G	27	0-3	0-2	2-2	2	0	1	2
Rickey Ballard	F	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0
Richard Amaefule	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0
P.J. Edwards	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0
Mekhi Fitts	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Martel Williams	G	35	6-10	1-1	4-5	4	3	2	0	17
Jonathan Griman	F	26	5-5	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	0	10
Jayden Jackson	G	32	3-4	3-4	0-0	7	4	2	1	9
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	27	4-11	1-6	0-0	1	3	1	0	9
Devon Malcolm	F	26	3-5	0-0	2-6	3	0	4	2	8
Jordan Muller	G	22	1-3	1-2	4-4	1	2	1	0	7
Bradey Henige	F	16	3-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	6
Nate Garcia	C	4	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Jalen Dollar	G	0	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Monty Bowser	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Thomas Ndong	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.5Possessions64.5

91.5Offensive Efficiency111.6

111.6Defensive Efficiency91.5

-20.2Net Efficiency20.2

42.2%Effective FG%65.2%

52.7%True Shooting %66.6%

21.6%Turnover Rate28.1%

51.1%Free Throw Rate37.0%

40.0%3-Point Rate30.4%

0.21Assist / Turnover0.78

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 64.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.