Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.9%Cal State Fullerton

44.1%Portland

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL163.0

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -127

Portland

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 82

Projected Total163.0

Projected ScorePortland 81

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricPortland

49.4MMH Power Index42.7

108.8Offensive Efficiency104.8

107.1Defensive Efficiency110.6

1.7Net Efficiency-5.8

-1.2Strength of Schedule1.8

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.1

76.3Tempo71.0

52.6%Effective FG%52.0%

15.1%Turnover Rate19.3%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

39.6%Free Throw Rate36.9%

1.3Average Margin-4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Fullerton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Fullerton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–42.7), offensive efficiency (108.8–104.8), defensive efficiency (107.1–110.6), net efficiency (1.7–-5.8).

Portland COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–-1.2), offensive rebounding (28.7–25.5).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

85—103

Portland

Portland by 18 • 78.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATPortland

32-67FG40-63

48.0%FG%63.0%

12-303PT11-21

40.0%3PT%52.0%

9-18FT12-17

50.0%FT%71.0%

29Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds6

22Assists24

13Turnovers13

6Steals9

—Blocks4

14Fouls19

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Joshua Ward	G	26	5-11	3-5	4-6	5	0	1	17
Jaden Henderson	G	26	5-12	3-6	2-2	1	8	0	15
Landon Seaman	F	24	7-13	1-2	0-0	4	2	0	15
Bryce Cofield	G	23	5-10	0-3	1-5	4	6	1	11
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	22	4-9	1-4	1-1	1	0	0	10
Christian Williams	G	34	3-5	3-5	0-0	0	4	2	9
Kendrick De Luna	F	13	1-1	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	3
Davis White	G	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	3
KJ Garris	G	20	1-4	0-3	0-0	4	2	1	2
Ben Winker	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0
Matthew Quinlan	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Portland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joel Foxwell	G	33	9-13	5-8	1-3	7	4	2	0	24
Garrett Nuckolls	G	31	8-11	2-2	2-2	6	4	2	0	20
Mikah Ballew	G	28	7-15	2-6	2-2	0	3	1	0	18
James O'Donnell	F	25	6-7	0-0	2-2	8	1	0	2	14
Timo George	F	23	6-6	1-1	1-2	5	1	0	1	14
Jermaine Ballisager Webb	C	14	2-4	0-1	2-2	3	6	0	1	6
Cameron Williams	F	13	1-3	1-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	4
Dante Censori-Hercules	G	20	1-1	0-0	1-2	4	4	2	0	3
Matúš Hronský	F	13	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.4Possessions78.4

108.4Offensive Efficiency131.4

131.4Defensive Efficiency108.4

-23.0Net Efficiency23.0

56.7%Effective FG%72.2%

56.3%True Shooting %72.5%

16.5%Turnover Rate16.7%

26.9%Free Throw Rate27.0%

44.8%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.69Assist / Turnover1.85

Game Summary

Portland won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 78.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.