Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.8%Sacramento State

88.2%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -14.2

PROJECTED TOTAL158.9

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -747

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 72

Projected Total158.9

Projected ScoreCalifornia 87

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricCalifornia

43MMH Power Index56.5

106.1Offensive Efficiency111.8

112.0Defensive Efficiency104.8

-5.9Net Efficiency7.0

0.9Strength of Schedule2.8

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

73.2Tempo69.9

48.5%Effective FG%52.6%

14.2%Turnover Rate14.9%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

41.8%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-4.3Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.5–43.0), offensive efficiency (111.8–106.1), defensive efficiency (104.8–112.0), net efficiency (7.0–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHball security (14.2–14.9), free throw rate (41.8–36.8).

Final

Sacramento State

67—91

California

California by 24 • 75.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATCalifornia

18-67FG33-65

27.0%FG%51.0%

7-243PT15-38

29.0%3PT%39.0%

24-30FT10-19

80.0%FT%53.0%

43Rebounds42

18Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists20

11Turnovers12

3Steals7

1Blocks7

16Fouls28

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Gardner	F	22	6-12	4-5	3-4	6	0	1	0	19
Mark Lavrenov	F	40	3-12	0-0	8-10	8	0	0	0	14
Prophet Johnson	G	36	4-11	1-4	3-4	11	2	1	0	12
Mikey Williams	G	33	2-11	1-3	2-2	2	5	1	0	7
Shaqir O'Neal	F	16	2-7	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Jahni Summers	G	14	1-4	0-2	2-2	1	1	0	0	4
Taj Glover	G	10	0-2	0-1	4-4	3	0	0	1	4
Jayden Teat	G	12	0-5	0-4	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Arman Madi	G	11	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Romari Robinson	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Isaiah Bronson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chris Bell	F	28	7-11	3-7	4-4	1	2	1	0	21
Dai Dai Ames	G	31	7-14	2-8	0-2	4	4	1	1	16
Justin Pippen	G	28	5-11	3-8	3-5	4	5	2	2	16
John Camden	F	28	5-12	4-10	0-0	5	5	1	1	14
Rytis Petraitis	F	20	3-3	1-1	0-0	7	0	0	2	7
Semetri Carr	G	18	2-5	2-3	1-2	2	2	1	0	7
Lee Dort	F	13	3-4	0-0	1-3	3	1	0	1	7
Milos Ilic	C	19	1-1	0-0	0-1	9	1	0	0	2
Mantas Kocanas	C	5	0-2	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	1
Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut	F	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
BJ Fisher	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Luke Butler	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Stephon Marbury II	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.2Possessions75.2

89.1Offensive Efficiency121.0

121.0Defensive Efficiency89.1

-31.9Net Efficiency31.9

32.1%Effective FG%62.3%

41.2%True Shooting %61.5%

14.8%Turnover Rate15.8%

44.8%Free Throw Rate29.2%

35.8%3-Point Rate58.5%

0.91Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

California won by 24 points. The game played at approximately 75.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.