North Carolina Central

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.9%North Carolina Central

96.1%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -20.2

PROJECTED TOTAL146.3

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -2464

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina Central 63

Projected Total146.3

Projected ScoreDayton 83

Team Comparison

North Carolina CentralMetricDayton

35.8MMH Power Index59.9

104.9Offensive Efficiency108.5

110.2Defensive Efficiency101.5

-5.3Net Efficiency7.0

-8.0Strength of Schedule5.7

-5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

68.5Tempo68.3

49.8%Effective FG%52.0%

17.7%Turnover Rate16.9%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

39.7%Free Throw Rate47.6%

-3.6Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–35.8), offensive efficiency (108.5–104.9), defensive efficiency (101.5–110.2), net efficiency (7.0–-5.3).

North Carolina Central COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (30.9–26.7).

Final

North Carolina Central

55—74

Dayton

Dayton by 19 • 66.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Carolina CentralTEAM STATDayton

19-51FG27-63

37.0%FG%43.0%

6-143PT9-32

43.0%3PT%28.0%

11-13FT11-19

85.0%FT%58.0%

36Rebounds38

9Offensive Rebounds13

9Assists13

18Turnovers7

3Steals11

6Blocks5

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

North Carolina Central

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Khouri Carvey	F	32	6-9	1-1	2-3	4	0	0	4	15
Gage Lattimore	G	39	4-12	2-6	3-3	7	1	0	0	13
Kyric Davis	G	29	4-10	0-1	2-3	4	1	2	0	10
Tekao Carpenter	G	21	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Jae Slack	F	3	1-1	1-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	5
Kelechi Okworogwo	F	32	1-7	0-1	2-2	6	1	1	2	4
Dionte Johnson	G	33	1-6	1-3	0-0	5	5	0	0	3
Khalil Arnold	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Ryan Archey	G	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ramondo Battle II	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Gbenga Olubi	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Camren Daniels	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	26	7-10	2-4	1-1	2	5	2	0	17
Malcolm Thomas	F	21	3-6	0-1	6-8	2	1	0	2	12
Amaël L'Etang	F	18	5-9	1-3	0-0	4	0	1	1	11
Jacob Conner	F	24	3-5	2-4	2-2	6	0	3	2	10
Javon Bennett	G	27	3-8	2-7	0-0	3	4	3	0	8
Bryce Heard	G	15	3-6	2-4	0-2	3	1	0	0	8
Keonte Jones	G	22	2-6	0-1	0-0	7	0	2	0	4
Jaiun Simon	F	14	1-5	0-2	1-2	3	0	0	0	3
Jordan Derkack	G	22	0-3	0-2	1-2	4	2	0	0	1
Damon Friery	F	8	0-2	0-2	0-2	3	0	0	0	0
Makai Grant	G	1	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Will Maxwell	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Evan Dickey	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.1Possessions66.1

83.2Offensive Efficiency112.0

112.0Defensive Efficiency83.2

-28.7Net Efficiency28.7

43.1%Effective FG%50.0%

48.1%True Shooting %51.4%

27.2%Turnover Rate10.6%

25.5%Free Throw Rate30.2%

27.5%3-Point Rate50.8%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.86

Game Summary

Dayton won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 66.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.