Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

69.4%Providence

30.6%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADProvidence -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL165.9

MODEL MONEYLINEProvidence -227

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 85

Projected Total165.9

Projected ScorePenn State 81

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricPenn State

54.2MMH Power Index42.3

115.0Offensive Efficiency109.2

113.2Defensive Efficiency117.6

1.8Net Efficiency-8.4

4.0Strength of Schedule5.3

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

74.2Tempo67.5

55.0%Effective FG%53.4%

16.7%Turnover Rate15.6%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

37.3%Free Throw Rate34.6%

1.3Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–42.3), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.2), defensive efficiency (113.2–117.6), net efficiency (1.8–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.3–4.0), ball security (15.6–16.7).

Final

Providence

77—65

Penn State

Providence by 12 • 70.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATPenn State

28-69FG22-66

41.0%FG%33.0%

6-333PT8-24

18.0%3PT%33.0%

15-19FT13-16

79.0%FT%81.0%

45Rebounds43

14Offensive Rebounds15

15Assists12

7Turnovers11

7Steals2

6Blocks1

13Fouls16

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stefan Vaaks	G	30	5-13	3-11	2-2	3	5	2	0	15
Jason Edwards	G	30	3-13	1-8	7-11	6	1	1	0	14
Jaylin Sellers	G	28	6-16	1-9	0-0	2	1	2	0	13
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	24	5-7	0-0	1-1	8	0	0	4	11
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	23	3-5	1-1	2-2	5	3	0	1	9
Jamier Jones	F	14	4-6	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	8
Ryan Mela	G	33	2-9	0-3	3-3	9	5	1	0	7
Cole Hargrove	F	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	0
Jaylen Harrell	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Freddie Dilione V	G	35	8-18	4-8	2-2	9	4	2	0	22
Melih Tunca	G	30	4-11	1-4	2-3	3	1	0	0	11
Josh Reed	F	24	3-7	1-3	1-1	8	1	0	1	8
Ivan Juric	F	30	2-6	0-2	2-2	5	2	0	0	6
Tibor Mirtic	F	16	2-3	1-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	6
Eli Rice	G	12	1-4	1-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	5
Dominick Stewart	G	18	1-5	0-1	1-2	4	0	0	0	3
Kayden Mingo	G	25	1-8	0-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	2
Saša Ciani	F	10	0-4	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.3Possessions70.3

109.5Offensive Efficiency92.5

92.5Defensive Efficiency109.5

17.1Net Efficiency-17.1

44.9%Effective FG%39.4%

49.3%True Shooting %44.2%

9.9%Turnover Rate15.8%

27.5%Free Throw Rate24.2%

47.8%3-Point Rate36.4%

2.14Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

Providence won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 70.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.