Mississippi Valley State

3-30

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.7%Mississippi Valley State

89.3%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Bakersfield -14.8

PROJECTED TOTAL153.6

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Bakersfield -835

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi Valley State 69

Projected Total153.6

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 84

Team Comparison

Mississippi Valley StateMetricCal State Bakersfield

17.7MMH Power Index32.2

91.1Offensive Efficiency100.2

117.8Defensive Efficiency112.6

-26.7Net Efficiency-12.4

-4.1Strength of Schedule-1.7

-17.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

70.5Tempo73.0

45.8%Effective FG%46.4%

21.8%Turnover Rate18.6%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

34.5%Free Throw Rate43.8%

-18.8Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Bakersfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Bakersfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (32.2–17.7), offensive efficiency (100.2–91.1), defensive efficiency (112.6–117.8), net efficiency (-12.4–-26.7).

Mississippi Valley State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-17.3–-18.5).

Final

Mississippi Valley State

70—86

Cal State Bakersfield

Cal State Bakersfield by 16 • 74.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi Valley StateTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

25-58FG25-60

43.0%FG%42.0%

2-103PT7-25

20.0%3PT%28.0%

18-29FT29-42

62.0%FT%69.0%

34Rebounds45

8Offensive Rebounds16

9Assists12

12Turnovers10

5Steals8

2Blocks3

27Fouls25

Player Box Score

Mississippi Valley State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Daniel Mayfield	F	33	9-18	0-1	4-6	10	1	0	1	22
Michael James	G	20	6-9	2-2	6-6	0	2	1	0	20
Patrick Punch	G	33	3-10	0-2	2-4	6	1	0	0	8
Samuel Murray	F	10	3-3	0-0	1-1	4	1	0	0	7
Delkedric Holmes	G	20	1-3	0-1	3-5	1	2	1	1	5
X'Zaevion Barnett	G	36	1-6	0-1	2-7	4	2	1	0	4
Lamont Sams	F	33	2-5	0-3	0-0	2	0	2	0	4
Chance Sutton	F	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	0
Tyrone Iroghama	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mussa Mzein	C	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dailin Smith	G	27	5-14	2-7	11-13	3	1	0	0	23
Mike Price	G	19	6-12	3-6	0-0	1	0	1	0	15
CJ Hardy	G	33	3-7	1-3	6-8	8	3	0	0	13
AJ George	G	32	4-10	0-3	2-6	6	0	0	0	10
Ronald Jessamy	F	27	2-4	0-0	5-9	11	3	3	2	9
Jaden Alexander	G	15	2-6	1-4	2-2	4	0	0	1	7
Kadar Waller	G	17	2-2	0-0	2-2	2	2	4	0	6
Caleb McCarty	F	16	1-1	0-0	1-2	6	2	0	0	3
Tom Mark	F	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Bentley Waller	G	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.9Possessions74.9

93.5Offensive Efficiency114.8

114.8Defensive Efficiency93.5

-21.4Net Efficiency21.4

44.8%Effective FG%47.5%

48.8%True Shooting %53.8%

15.8%Turnover Rate13.5%

50.0%Free Throw Rate70.0%

17.2%3-Point Rate41.7%

0.75Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Cal State Bakersfield won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 74.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.