UT Rio Grande Valley

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.4%UT Rio Grande Valley

49.6%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL148.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUT Rio Grande Valley -102

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUT Rio Grande Valley 74

Projected Total148.3

Projected ScoreMissouri State 74

Team Comparison

UT Rio Grande ValleyMetricMissouri State

55.8MMH Power Index51.1

112.6Offensive Efficiency110.5

103.1Defensive Efficiency108.4

9.5Net Efficiency2.1

-1.9Strength of Schedule0.5

12.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

67.4Tempo67.9

55.7%Effective FG%51.8%

17.9%Turnover Rate16.4%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

29.6%Free Throw Rate42.9%

6.4Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UT Rio Grande Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUT Rio Grande Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–51.1), offensive efficiency (112.6–110.5), defensive efficiency (103.1–108.4), net efficiency (9.5–2.1).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-1.9), ball security (16.4–17.9), offensive rebounding (33.0–29.2).

Final

UT Rio Grande Valley

67—74

Missouri State

Missouri State by 7 • 63.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UT Rio Grande ValleyTEAM STATMissouri State

23-51FG23-55

45.0%FG%42.0%

5-193PT9-32

26.0%3PT%28.0%

16-19FT19-26

84.0%FT%73.0%

36Rebounds26

11Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists15

14Turnovers6

3Steals6

1Blocks2

21Fouls16

Player Box Score

UT Rio Grande Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Koree Cotton	G	28	4-11	1-4	4-6	5	4	1	0	13
Filip Brankovic	F	24	5-6	1-1	0-0	4	1	0	1	11
Zae Blake	G	31	3-8	2-5	2-2	5	3	0	0	10
Marvin McGhee III	G	26	3-7	0-3	4-4	9	1	1	0	10
Always Wright	G	20	3-5	1-3	1-2	3	0	0	0	8
Julien Gomez	G	13	1-3	0-1	4-4	0	0	1	0	6
Kwo Agwa	F	11	2-2	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	0	5
Jaylen Washington	G	20	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Kye Dickson	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Dane Christensen	F	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	3	0	0	0
Marshal Destremau	F	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keith Palek III	F	34	6-14	4-9	12-14	9	5	2	0	28
Zaxton King	G	36	4-7	2-5	2-2	2	2	2	0	12
Kobi Williams	G	35	3-11	2-9	3-4	1	4	1	0	11
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	20	4-7	0-0	2-6	6	1	1	0	10
Darrion Sutton	F	20	3-4	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	2	7
Trey Williams Jr.	G	35	2-10	0-7	0-0	1	2	0	0	4
Cameron Boone	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Tyrique Brooks	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Logan Epes	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.2Possessions63.2

106.0Offensive Efficiency117.1

117.1Defensive Efficiency106.0

-11.1Net Efficiency11.1

50.0%Effective FG%50.0%

55.8%True Shooting %54.9%

22.2%Turnover Rate9.5%

37.3%Free Throw Rate47.3%

37.3%3-Point Rate58.2%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Missouri State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 63.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.