St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.7%St. Thomas-Minnesota

34.3%Cal State Fullerton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. Thomas-Minnesota -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL163.3

MODEL MONEYLINESt. Thomas-Minnesota -192

Cal State Fullerton

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 83

Projected Total163.3

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 80

Team Comparison

St. Thomas-MinnesotaMetricCal State Fullerton

59.8MMH Power Index49.4

116.8Offensive Efficiency108.8

102.2Defensive Efficiency107.1

14.6Net Efficiency1.7

-3.6Strength of Schedule-1.2

14.7Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

70.0Tempo76.3

59.2%Effective FG%52.6%

13.9%Turnover Rate15.1%

22.1%Offensive Rebound %25.5%

35.2%Free Throw Rate39.6%

10.2Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–49.4), offensive efficiency (116.8–108.8), defensive efficiency (102.2–107.1), net efficiency (14.6–1.7).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.2–-3.6), offensive rebounding (25.5–22.1), free throw rate (39.6–35.2).

Final

St. Thomas-Minnesota

80—88

Cal State Fullerton

Cal State Fullerton by 8 • 76.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. Thomas-MinnesotaTEAM STATCal State Fullerton

28-69FG28-60

41.0%FG%47.0%

8-333PT9-29

24.0%3PT%31.0%

16-17FT23-25

94.0%FT%92.0%

35Rebounds36

9Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists19

9Turnovers10

6Steals6

3Blocks3

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nolan Minessale	G	34	8-22	0-7	10-10	5	5	1	1	26
Isaiah Johnson-Arigu	F	25	5-10	3-7	2-2	5	2	2	1	15
Nick Janowski	G	33	4-9	2-6	4-5	5	2	2	0	14
Ben Oosterbaan	F	27	4-6	1-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	9
Carter Bjerke	F	16	2-10	1-7	0-0	4	2	0	1	5
Hayden Tibbits	G	13	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Ryan Dufault	G	27	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	3	0	0	2
Ryan Lafferty	G	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jermaine Coleman	G	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Austin Herro	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joshua Ward	G	34	5-12	0-4	10-10	4	6	2	1	20
Bryce Cofield	G	18	5-9	3-6	0-0	3	3	1	0	13
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	33	4-9	2-5	2-2	4	2	0	0	12
Landon Seaman	F	21	4-7	0-1	4-6	4	1	0	0	12
KJ Garris	G	13	4-6	1-3	3-3	3	1	0	0	12
Christian Williams	G	35	3-9	2-6	2-2	9	4	2	0	10
Kendrick De Luna	F	18	1-1	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	1	4
Davis White	G	9	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jaden Henderson	G	19	1-5	0-2	0-0	4	1	1	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

76.5Possessions76.5

104.6Offensive Efficiency115.0

115.0Defensive Efficiency104.6

-10.5Net Efficiency10.5

46.4%Effective FG%54.2%

51.9%True Shooting %61.2%

11.7%Turnover Rate13.2%

24.6%Free Throw Rate41.7%

47.8%3-Point Rate48.3%

1.56Assist / Turnover1.90

Game Summary

Cal State Fullerton won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 76.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.