Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.8%Ball State

70.2%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana State -6.3

PROJECTED TOTAL142.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana State -236

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 68

Projected Total142.7

Projected ScoreIndiana State 75

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricIndiana State

41.3MMH Power Index44.4

101.7Offensive Efficiency104.7

104.7Defensive Efficiency106.0

-3.0Net Efficiency-1.3

-3.9Strength of Schedule0.1

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

66.4Tempo70.3

48.3%Effective FG%53.6%

16.0%Turnover Rate19.5%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

33.0%Free Throw Rate28.8%

-2.0Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Indiana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIndiana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–41.3), offensive efficiency (104.7–101.7), net efficiency (-1.3–-3.0), strength of schedule (0.1–-3.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–106.0), recent form (-0.9–-5.2), ball security (16.0–19.5).

Final

Ball State

52—70

Indiana State

Indiana State by 18 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATIndiana State

22-65FG27-58

34.0%FG%47.0%

4-203PT7-26

20.0%3PT%27.0%

4-5FT9-9

80.0%FT%100.0%

35Rebounds40

15Offensive Rebounds11

6Assists17

13Turnovers13

6Steals5

2Blocks1

12Fouls12

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devon Barnes	G	28	5-14	0-4	4-5	1	2	1	0	14
Armoni Zeigler	G	32	4-10	1-2	0-0	3	3	0	0	9
Mason Jones	F	32	3-5	1-3	0-0	3	0	4	0	7
Davion Hill	G	23	3-8	0-1	0-0	5	1	1	0	6
Elmore James IV	G	21	2-6	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Kayden Fish	F	23	2-10	0-1	0-0	7	0	0	1	4
Cam Denson	F	22	2-6	0-1	0-0	9	0	0	1	4
Juwan Maxey	G	16	1-6	0-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Preston Copeland	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Markus Harding	C	31	7-10	1-3	0-0	4	4	0	0	15
Jo Van Buggenhout	G	27	5-7	3-5	2-2	0	3	2	0	15
Ian Scott	F	32	4-9	0-0	2-2	10	4	2	0	10
Bruno Alocen	G	24	4-8	2-6	0-0	5	0	1	1	10
Xavier Hall	G	29	2-4	0-1	5-5	1	4	0	0	9
Enel St. Bernard	F	14	4-8	0-1	0-0	11	0	0	0	8
Sterling Young	G	13	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Camp Wagner	G	26	0-7	0-6	0-0	7	1	0	0	0
Jayan Walker	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

80.1Offensive Efficiency107.9

107.9Defensive Efficiency80.1

-27.7Net Efficiency27.7

36.9%Effective FG%52.6%

38.6%True Shooting %56.2%

19.9%Turnover Rate20.2%

7.7%Free Throw Rate15.5%

30.8%3-Point Rate44.8%

0.46Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.