Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.1%Cal State Fullerton

72.9%Northern Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL166.9

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -269

Northern Colorado

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 80

Projected Total166.9

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 87

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricNorthern Colorado

49.4MMH Power Index53.7

108.8Offensive Efficiency116.0

107.1Defensive Efficiency107.6

1.7Net Efficiency8.4

-1.2Strength of Schedule-4.3

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency10.8

76.3Tempo71.1

52.6%Effective FG%56.9%

15.1%Turnover Rate15.3%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %27.9%

39.6%Free Throw Rate27.8%

1.3Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–49.4), offensive efficiency (116.0–108.8), net efficiency (8.4–1.7), recent form (10.8–2.7).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.1–107.6), strength of schedule (-1.2–-4.3), ball security (15.1–15.3).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

93—97

Northern Colorado

Northern Colorado by 4 • 80.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATNorthern Colorado

32-71FG27-60

45.0%FG%45.0%

6-213PT9-31

29.0%3PT%29.0%

23-33FT34-40

70.0%FT%85.0%

34Rebounds41

9Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists17

4Turnovers9

4Steals1

2Blocks1

26Fouls23

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joshua Ward	G	38	11-17	4-8	5-5	5	2	2	0	31
Bryce Cofield	G	32	9-21	0-4	9-11	7	3	1	0	27
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	34	5-10	0-2	2-3	2	1	1	0	12
Landon Seaman	F	27	4-10	1-1	2-3	2	0	0	0	11
Kendrick De Luna	F	11	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	2	0	1	3
Davis White	G	9	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Christian Williams	G	27	0-5	0-3	2-2	9	1	0	1	2
Jaden Henderson	G	16	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
KJ Garris	G	6	0-2	0-0	2-7	3	0	0	0	2

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zach Bloch	G	35	9-14	7-12	7-9	3	2	1	0	32
Brock Wisne	F	27	5-7	1-2	4-4	9	2	0	1	15
Quinn Denker	G	29	4-16	1-6	4-4	3	4	0	0	13
Egan Shields	C	23	4-4	0-0	4-5	8	0	0	0	12
Vincent Delano	G	29	2-9	0-5	7-10	5	5	0	0	11
Ibu Yamazaki	F	26	1-3	0-1	8-8	3	3	0	0	10
Ring Nyeri	F	21	2-5	0-3	0-0	7	0	0	0	4
Ariik Mawien	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tanner Braketa	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

80.9Possessions80.9

115.0Offensive Efficiency119.9

119.9Defensive Efficiency115.0

-4.9Net Efficiency4.9

49.3%Effective FG%52.5%

53.6%True Shooting %61.4%

4.9%Turnover Rate11.3%

46.5%Free Throw Rate66.7%

29.6%3-Point Rate51.7%

2.50Assist / Turnover1.89

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 80.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.