Butler

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.0%Butler

91.0%Virginia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -15.6

PROJECTED TOTAL155.9

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -1011

Virginia

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreButler 70

Projected Total155.9

Projected ScoreVirginia 86

Team Comparison

ButlerMetricVirginia

52.7MMH Power Index68.9

111.7Offensive Efficiency119.0

109.1Defensive Efficiency101.8

2.6Net Efficiency17.2

3.1Strength of Schedule5.2

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

71.1Tempo67.6

51.2%Effective FG%55.0%

15.9%Turnover Rate16.0%

34.4%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

42.9%Free Throw Rate33.2%

1.8Average Margin11.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–52.7), offensive efficiency (119.0–111.7), defensive efficiency (101.8–109.1), net efficiency (17.2–2.6).

Butler COUNTERS WITHball security (15.9–16.0), free throw rate (42.9–33.2).

Final

Butler

80—73

Virginia

Butler by 7 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ButlerTEAM STATVirginia

27-56FG29-71

48.0%FG%41.0%

6-153PT8-27

40.0%3PT%30.0%

20-29FT7-15

69.0%FT%47.0%

43Rebounds39

14Offensive Rebounds18

11Assists6

13Turnovers9

7Steals6

3Blocks11

19Fouls21

Player Box Score

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Finley Bizjack	G	34	9-18	2-10	5-6	1	2	0	0	25
Michael Ajayi	F	37	7-14	0-1	3-6	14	1	0	3	17
Jalen Jackson	G	21	2-5	0-0	6-8	1	4	0	0	10
Evan Haywood	G	8	3-4	3-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	9
Drayton Jones	C	27	3-4	0-0	0-1	9	1	0	0	6
Jamie Kaiser Jr.	G	32	1-3	0-0	3-4	10	0	4	0	5
Yame Butler	G	14	1-2	0-0	3-4	1	0	1	0	5
Azavier Robinson	G	12	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	1	2	0	3
Yohan Traore	F	10	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Jack McCaffery	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jackson Keith	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Thomas	G	28	9-17	3-7	3-6	3	0	0	0	24
Jacari White	G	19	5-7	4-6	0-0	0	0	0	0	14
Chance Mallory	G	34	4-13	0-3	3-5	6	3	3	0	11
Thijs De Ridder	F	31	4-10	1-3	1-4	5	0	2	0	10
Sam Lewis	G	25	3-8	0-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	6
Devin Tillis	F	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Ugonna Onyenso	C	23	1-6	0-2	0-0	7	1	0	8	2
Johann Grunloh	C	17	1-4	0-1	0-0	7	0	0	2	2
Dallin Hall	G	11	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Elijah Gertrude	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

116.1Offensive Efficiency106.0

106.0Defensive Efficiency116.1

10.2Net Efficiency-10.2

53.6%Effective FG%46.5%

57.3%True Shooting %46.7%

18.9%Turnover Rate13.0%

51.8%Free Throw Rate21.1%

26.8%3-Point Rate38.0%

0.85Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Butler won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.