Coastal Carolina

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.7%Coastal Carolina

79.3%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -9.8

PROJECTED TOTAL145.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -383

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCoastal Carolina 68

Projected Total145.2

Projected ScoreIllinois State 78

Team Comparison

Coastal CarolinaMetricIllinois State

46.8MMH Power Index54.3

104.0Offensive Efficiency110.6

103.0Defensive Efficiency101.4

1.0Net Efficiency9.2

-1.3Strength of Schedule1.0

-2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

70.5Tempo67.5

48.7%Effective FG%54.3%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.8%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

33.0%Free Throw Rate32.0%

0.7Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–46.8), offensive efficiency (110.6–104.0), defensive efficiency (101.4–103.0), net efficiency (9.2–1.0).

Coastal Carolina COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-2.0–-4.4), ball security (15.3–16.8), free throw rate (33.0–32.0).

Final

Coastal Carolina

42—94

Illinois State

Illinois State by 52 • 75.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Coastal CarolinaTEAM STATIllinois State

18-66FG32-66

27.0%FG%48.0%

3-273PT13-29

11.0%3PT%45.0%

3-5FT17-22

60.0%FT%77.0%

34Rebounds48

6Offensive Rebounds6

4Assists19

11Turnovers6

2Steals6

3Blocks1

17Fouls10

Player Box Score

Coastal Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joshua Beadle	G	24	5-16	1-5	0-1	3	1	0	0	11
Tristan Thompson	G	25	3-5	0-1	1-2	7	1	0	0	7
DaJohn Craig	G	20	2-7	1-5	2-2	2	0	0	0	7
AJ Dancler	G	31	3-15	0-3	0-0	5	2	0	1	6
Rasheed Jones	G	32	2-10	0-4	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Braeden MacVicar	F	13	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jerry Ngopot	F	17	1-7	0-5	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Nadjrick Peat	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	2	2
Reggie Hill	F	16	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Derrick Green	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jackson Keil	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ty'Reek Coleman	G	23	6-10	4-5	0-0	5	1	0	0	16
Ty Pence	G	16	6-7	2-2	2-3	3	3	2	0	16
Jack Daugherty	F	19	3-6	3-6	5-6	4	1	0	0	14
Johnny Kinziger	G	21	3-8	2-5	5-6	5	1	0	0	13
Brandon Lieb	F	19	4-6	0-0	2-2	6	4	2	0	10
Boden Skunberg	G	24	3-8	1-4	1-1	6	1	0	0	8
Chase Walker	F	19	3-7	0-2	0-2	6	2	1	0	6
Mason Klabo	G	17	2-6	0-1	0-0	2	5	1	0	4
Landon Wolf	G	15	1-2	0-1	2-2	5	0	0	1	4
Landon Moore	G	8	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Cameron Barnes	F	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Ty Blake	G	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.0Possessions75.0

56.0Offensive Efficiency125.3

125.3Defensive Efficiency56.0

-69.3Net Efficiency69.3

29.5%Effective FG%58.3%

30.7%True Shooting %61.5%

15.0%Turnover Rate7.8%

7.6%Free Throw Rate33.3%

40.9%3-Point Rate43.9%

0.36Assist / Turnover3.17

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 52 points. The game played at approximately 75.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.