North Dakota

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.4%North Dakota

18.6%Western Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota -8.1

PROJECTED TOTAL149.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota -438

Western Illinois

5-26

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota 79

Projected Total149.2

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 71

Team Comparison

North DakotaMetricWestern Illinois

43.7MMH Power Index25.9

109.2Offensive Efficiency96.2

110.2Defensive Efficiency113.9

-1.0Net Efficiency-17.7

-3.4Strength of Schedule-2.4

-7.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-26.3

70.1Tempo67.5

50.1%Effective FG%45.4%

14.0%Turnover Rate17.5%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

37.5%Free Throw Rate37.5%

-0.7Average Margin-11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.7–25.9), offensive efficiency (109.2–96.2), defensive efficiency (110.2–113.9), net efficiency (-1.0–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.4–-3.4).

Final

North Dakota

78—69

Western Illinois

North Dakota by 9 • 73.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North DakotaTEAM STATWestern Illinois

27-55FG24-53

49.0%FG%45.0%

7-163PT10-21

44.0%3PT%48.0%

17-20FT11-21

85.0%FT%52.0%

29Rebounds31

3Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists10

13Turnovers17

10Steals7

2Blocks1

17Fouls19

Player Box Score

North Dakota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Garrett Anderson	G	28	6-12	3-6	6-6	2	2	1	0	21
Eli King	G	34	6-14	2-3	5-6	5	1	3	0	19
Greyson Uelmen	G	32	5-8	1-2	5-6	3	4	0	0	16
George Natsvlishvili	F	17	4-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	2	0	8
Marley Curtis	F	34	3-7	0-1	1-2	6	1	2	0	7
Josh Jones	C	23	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	2	4
Zach Kraft	G	16	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Anthony Smith III	G	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Karson Ouse	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lucas Lorenzen	G	32	6-15	3-9	3-4	2	2	0	0	18
Francis Okwuosah	F	34	4-12	3-6	0-0	7	1	2	0	11
Karyiek Dixon	F	26	5-9	0-2	0-0	7	2	1	0	10
Makai Kvamme	G	37	4-7	0-0	1-4	3	4	3	0	9
Goanar Biliew	F	28	2-5	1-1	4-7	4	0	0	1	9
Isaiah Griffin	F	25	2-3	2-2	3-6	1	1	1	0	9
Nick Hittle	F	15	1-2	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Tyran Cook	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.3Possessions73.3

106.4Offensive Efficiency94.1

94.1Defensive Efficiency106.4

12.3Net Efficiency-12.3

55.5%Effective FG%54.7%

60.5%True Shooting %54.8%

17.4%Turnover Rate23.6%

36.4%Free Throw Rate39.6%

29.1%3-Point Rate39.6%

0.69Assist / Turnover0.59

Game Summary

North Dakota won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 73.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.