Mercyhurst

17-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.6%Mercyhurst

77.4%Marshall

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMarshall -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL149.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMarshall -342

Marshall

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercyhurst 70

Projected Total149.1

Projected ScoreMarshall 79

Team Comparison

MercyhurstMetricMarshall

45.5MMH Power Index52

105.2Offensive Efficiency114.7

102.2Defensive Efficiency110.3

3.0Net Efficiency4.4

-5.7Strength of Schedule0.9

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

65.9Tempo70.7

50.5%Effective FG%55.2%

14.4%Turnover Rate16.5%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

25.4%Free Throw Rate29.7%

2.0Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Marshall HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMarshall holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.0–45.5), offensive efficiency (114.7–105.2), net efficiency (4.4–3.0), strength of schedule (0.9–-5.7).

Mercyhurst COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.2–110.3), recent form (3.2–-4.9), ball security (14.4–16.5).

Final

Mercyhurst

60—69

Marshall

Marshall by 9 • 63.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercyhurstTEAM STATMarshall

24-60FG22-53

40.0%FG%42.0%

3-163PT12-29

19.0%3PT%41.0%

9-16FT13-16

56.0%FT%81.0%

36Rebounds38

13Offensive Rebounds10

6Assists14

10Turnovers11

10Steals7

2Blocks6

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

Mercyhurst

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jake Lemelman	G	33	8-19	1-4	4-5	5	1	2	0	21
Qadir Martin	F	33	5-10	0-1	0-2	9	1	1	1	10
Deshaun Jackson Jr.	G	29	4-7	0-0	2-4	4	1	0	1	10
Bernie Blunt III	G	28	4-11	1-4	1-1	3	1	3	0	10
Mykolas Ivanauskas	F	27	3-7	1-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	7
Cameron Johnson	F	18	0-1	0-1	2-4	2	0	2	0	2
Christian Gamble	G	23	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Kaden Fuhrmann	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
James Thomas	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Marshall

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Speer	G	36	7-12	5-9	2-2	6	6	1	0	21
Caleb Hollenbeck	G	32	4-9	4-9	0-0	4	0	0	0	12
Wyatt Fricks	F	32	2-10	1-5	4-4	6	4	3	3	9
Matt Van Komen	C	25	4-7	0-0	1-2	13	1	1	1	9
Wilson Dubinsky	G	23	2-4	2-4	1-2	2	1	0	0	7
Erich Harding	F	15	1-2	0-0	3-4	2	1	0	1	5
Noah Otshudi	G	23	1-8	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Drew Fuquay	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	2
Landen Joseph	G	1	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Bryce Slay	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.1Possessions63.1

95.1Offensive Efficiency109.4

109.4Defensive Efficiency95.1

-14.3Net Efficiency14.3

42.5%Effective FG%52.8%

44.4%True Shooting %56.9%

15.5%Turnover Rate17.9%

26.7%Free Throw Rate30.2%

26.7%3-Point Rate54.7%

0.60Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Marshall won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 63.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.