Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.5%Murray State

59.5%Middle Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiddle Tennessee -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL159.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMiddle Tennessee -147

Middle Tennessee

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 78

Projected Total159.1

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 81

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricMiddle Tennessee

53.6MMH Power Index52.5

115.0Offensive Efficiency109.6

111.0Defensive Efficiency105.7

4.0Net Efficiency3.9

3.5Strength of Schedule0.4

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

72.3Tempo68.8

54.0%Effective FG%52.2%

16.3%Turnover Rate16.7%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

39.1%Free Throw Rate33.2%

2.9Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–52.5), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.6), net efficiency (4.0–3.9), strength of schedule (3.5–0.4).

Middle Tennessee COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.7–111.0), recent form (3.2–-9.5).

Final

Murray State

87—90

Middle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee by 3 • 75.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATMiddle Tennessee

30-62FG37-74

48.0%FG%50.0%

7-223PT6-16

32.0%3PT%38.0%

20-29FT10-18

69.0%FT%56.0%

34Rebounds46

8Offensive Rebounds17

12Assists17

8Turnovers10

4Steals3

5Blocks4

17Fouls23

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fred King	C	27	6-8	0-1	6-12	6	1	0	1	18
Javon Jackson	G	27	4-13	1-4	3-3	3	1	0	0	12
Brayden Shorter	G	19	4-7	4-7	0-0	3	0	0	0	12
Mathis Courbon	G	13	5-7	0-1	2-3	3	1	0	0	12
Roman Domon	G	17	2-7	1-6	6-6	6	0	1	0	11
KJ Tenner	G	19	3-7	0-0	3-4	2	4	2	0	9
JJ Traynor	F	24	4-6	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	1	8
Layne Taylor	G	21	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	3
Mason Miller	F	21	1-3	0-1	0-1	2	1	0	0	2
Dylan Anderson	C	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	3	0

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Torey Alston	F	36	12-21	0-2	2-3	16	1	0	2	26
Alec Oglesby	G	27	5-8	4-5	3-5	5	0	1	0	17
Sean Smith	G	28	4-11	0-1	2-4	2	4	1	2	10
Chris Loofe	F	15	5-9	0-0	0-2	4	1	0	0	10
Kamari Lands	G	21	4-8	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	8
Jahvin Carter	G	21	3-6	1-1	0-0	5	4	0	0	7
Luka Jovanovic	C	19	2-4	0-0	1-2	4	2	0	0	5
Jarred Hall	F	6	2-4	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	5
Tre Green	G	21	0-3	0-2	2-2	3	3	0	0	2
James Dent Jr.	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.7Possessions75.7

114.9Offensive Efficiency118.9

118.9Defensive Efficiency114.9

-4.0Net Efficiency4.0

54.0%Effective FG%54.1%

57.4%True Shooting %54.5%

10.6%Turnover Rate13.2%

46.8%Free Throw Rate24.3%

35.5%3-Point Rate21.6%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Middle Tennessee won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 75.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.