Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.4%Toledo

49.6%Troy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTroy -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.2

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -102

Troy

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 78

Projected Total158.2

Projected ScoreTroy 80

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricTroy

58.8MMH Power Index54.1

116.0Offensive Efficiency112.6

109.6Defensive Efficiency103.9

6.4Net Efficiency8.7

2.3Strength of Schedule-2.2

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

69.8Tempo70.4

55.1%Effective FG%52.1%

14.6%Turnover Rate17.1%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

30.3%Free Throw Rate36.8%

4.5Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–54.1), offensive efficiency (116.0–112.6), strength of schedule (2.3–-2.2), recent form (10.2–2.0).

Troy COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.9–109.6), net efficiency (8.7–6.4), offensive rebounding (35.3–30.4).

Final

Toledo

75—68

Troy

Toledo by 7 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATTroy

28-61FG26-65

46.0%FG%40.0%

6-183PT5-28

33.0%3PT%18.0%

13-17FT11-14

76.0%FT%79.0%

38Rebounds39

12Offensive Rebounds14

16Assists12

11Turnovers12

11Steals5

7Blocks5

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sonny Wilson	G	36	10-13	2-2	1-2	4	1	2	0	23
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	28	5-15	1-6	3-3	2	3	3	1	14
Leroy Blyden Jr.	G	35	4-11	2-5	3-5	2	4	2	1	13
Sean Craig	F	34	3-7	1-3	2-3	11	2	1	0	9
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	22	3-8	0-1	2-2	4	2	0	4	8
Austin Parks	C	20	1-3	0-1	2-2	5	2	2	1	4
Chris Riddle	F	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Mynor Strong	G	5	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Will James Jr.	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Theo Seng	F	25	7-14	1-4	3-3	5	1	0	1	18
Cooper Campbell	G	37	5-12	1-5	1-1	2	5	1	0	12
Thomas Dowd	F	38	4-12	0-5	2-4	11	1	3	2	10
Kerrington Kiel	F	26	3-7	1-4	2-2	6	1	0	1	9
Jerrell Bellamy	C	13	3-3	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	7
Victor Valdes	F	33	1-11	1-6	2-2	6	4	1	1	5
Austin Cross	G	16	2-5	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Corbin Green	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Javen Colbert	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Emmanuel Clarton	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

108.9Offensive Efficiency98.7

98.7Defensive Efficiency108.9

10.2Net Efficiency-10.2

50.8%Effective FG%43.8%

54.3%True Shooting %47.5%

16.2%Turnover Rate17.2%

27.9%Free Throw Rate21.5%

29.5%3-Point Rate43.1%

1.45Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Toledo won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.