VMI

5-26

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.7%VMI

94.3%Buffalo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -17.9

PROJECTED TOTAL152.9

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -1654

Buffalo

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVMI 68

Projected Total152.9

Projected ScoreBuffalo 85

Team Comparison

VMIMetricBuffalo

29.1MMH Power Index49.7

105.1Offensive Efficiency114.9

117.4Defensive Efficiency112.2

-12.3Net Efficiency2.7

-5.4Strength of Schedule0.0

-21.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.9

66.2Tempo67.9

48.9%Effective FG%56.1%

14.7%Turnover Rate16.1%

26.4%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

29.9%Free Throw Rate40.4%

-8.2Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–29.1), offensive efficiency (114.9–105.1), defensive efficiency (112.2–117.4), net efficiency (2.7–-12.3).

VMI COUNTERS WITHball security (14.7–16.1).

Final

VMI

70—78

Buffalo

Buffalo by 8 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VMITEAM STATBuffalo

24-64FG21-46

38.0%FG%46.0%

8-343PT8-21

24.0%3PT%38.0%

14-20FT28-37

70.0%FT%76.0%

35Rebounds36

15Offensive Rebounds9

8Assists11

8Turnovers12

5Steals6

1Blocks2

25Fouls17

Player Box Score

VMI

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Johnson	F	36	6-21	6-18	10-11	7	0	1	0	28
Tan Yildizoglu	G	25	5-9	1-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	11
Mario Tatum Jr.	G	24	4-9	1-3	2-5	3	1	1	0	11
Jaylen Pazon	G	14	4-6	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
AJ Clark	G	27	2-5	0-1	0-0	10	3	1	1	4
Walker Andrews	G	13	2-5	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Linus Holmstrom	G	20	1-6	0-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Kaden Stuckey	F	21	0-2	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	1
Cal Liston	F	17	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	2	0	0	1
Mason Hagedorn	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Daniel Freitag	G	39	1-4	1-4	14-16	2	1	1	1	17
Noah Batchelor	G	35	5-7	3-5	2-2	5	1	1	0	15
Ryan Sabol	G	37	4-14	4-10	1-2	3	3	1	0	13
Angelo Brizzi	G	21	2-5	0-1	5-6	4	1	1	0	9
Ezra McKenna	F	20	4-6	0-0	0-0	10	1	0	0	8
Tim Oboh	C	17	3-5	0-0	2-6	1	0	2	1	8
Derrick Talton Jr.	G	19	2-3	0-1	3-3	3	4	0	0	7
Mikhail Pocknett	F	7	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Kyle Jones	G	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

105.1Offensive Efficiency117.1

117.1Defensive Efficiency105.1

-12.0Net Efficiency12.0

43.8%Effective FG%54.3%

47.6%True Shooting %61.3%

12.0%Turnover Rate18.0%

31.3%Free Throw Rate80.4%

53.1%3-Point Rate45.7%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Buffalo won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.