USC

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.7%USC

85.3%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -11.1

PROJECTED TOTAL157.1

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -580

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUSC 73

Projected Total157.1

Projected ScoreBoise State 84

Team Comparison

USCMetricBoise State

48.3MMH Power Index59.5

108.5Offensive Efficiency113.9

107.6Defensive Efficiency107.1

0.9Net Efficiency6.8

2.5Strength of Schedule4.2

-16.0Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

72.4Tempo68.6

50.7%Effective FG%52.7%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.0%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

45.3%Free Throw Rate42.7%

0.7Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–48.3), offensive efficiency (113.9–108.5), defensive efficiency (107.1–107.6), net efficiency (6.8–0.9).

USC COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (45.3–42.7).

Final

USC

70—67

Boise State

USC by 3 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

USCTEAM STATBoise State

24-54FG26-63

44.0%FG%41.0%

11-233PT5-25

48.0%3PT%20.0%

11-17FT10-11

65.0%FT%91.0%

31Rebounds36

7Offensive Rebounds12

11Assists7

13Turnovers15

8Steals5

7Blocks2

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rodney Rice	G	35	11-21	4-7	1-1	1	3	1	0	27
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	34	4-11	1-4	2-2	8	2	1	1	11
Ezra Ausar	F	26	3-6	0-0	3-6	6	2	2	0	9
Terrance Williams II	F	29	2-4	2-3	2-4	2	1	1	1	8
Jordan Marsh	G	21	2-4	2-3	2-2	3	1	2	0	8
Jacob Cofie	F	31	2-6	2-5	1-2	3	1	1	3	7
Amarion Dickerson	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Gabe Dynes	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Jerry Easter II	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Jaden Brownell	F	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javan Buchanan	F	33	6-16	1-7	5-5	6	0	1	0	18
Pearson Carmichael	F	22	5-10	1-5	3-4	7	0	0	0	14
Aginaldo Neto	G	19	3-4	2-2	2-2	1	1	2	0	10
Andrew Meadow	F	26	4-8	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	9
Dylan Andrews	G	31	4-8	0-3	0-0	4	3	0	0	8
Drew Fielder	C	21	1-8	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
RJ Keene II	G	19	1-2	0-1	0-0	7	2	0	1	2
Dominic Parolin	F	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Spencer Ahrens	F	9	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Julian Bowie	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

100.4Offensive Efficiency96.1

96.1Defensive Efficiency100.4

4.3Net Efficiency-4.3

54.6%Effective FG%45.2%

56.4%True Shooting %49.1%

19.1%Turnover Rate21.1%

31.5%Free Throw Rate17.5%

42.6%3-Point Rate39.7%

0.85Assist / Turnover0.47

Game Summary

USC won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.