Bellarmine

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.9%Bellarmine

37.1%The Citadel

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBellarmine -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL157.9

MODEL MONEYLINEBellarmine -170

The Citadel

11-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBellarmine 80

Projected Total157.9

Projected ScoreThe Citadel 78

Team Comparison

BellarmineMetricThe Citadel

44.9MMH Power Index35.6

119.6Offensive Efficiency106.1

122.1Defensive Efficiency116.9

-2.5Net Efficiency-10.8

-2.8Strength of Schedule-1.3

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.2

66.9Tempo66.3

60.0%Effective FG%50.4%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.7%

22.7%Offensive Rebound %28.6%

35.3%Free Throw Rate29.6%

-1.7Average Margin-7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bellarmine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBellarmine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.9–35.6), offensive efficiency (119.6–106.1), net efficiency (-2.5–-10.8), recent form (0.3–-16.2).

The Citadel COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (116.9–122.1), strength of schedule (-1.3–-2.8), offensive rebounding (28.6–22.7).

Final

Bellarmine

70—58

The Citadel

Bellarmine by 12 • 60.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BellarmineTEAM STATThe Citadel

25-50FG22-59

50.0%FG%37.0%

11-223PT3-24

50.0%3PT%13.0%

9-16FT11-16

56.0%FT%69.0%

24Rebounds44

4Offensive Rebounds19

16Assists5

7Turnovers12

6Steals3

2Blocks2

13Fouls16

Player Box Score

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kenyon Goodin	G	38	8-13	6-9	2-3	3	3	1	1	24
Jack Karasinski	F	32	5-12	2-6	4-4	3	1	1	0	16
Brian Waddell	F	28	6-8	1-2	2-5	0	1	1	1	15
Michael Wilson Jr.	F	21	4-7	2-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	10
Sam Donald	F	32	2-5	0-1	0-2	5	4	1	0	4
Darrius Bolden	G	16	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	2	1	0	1
Myles Watkins	G	18	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	4	0	0	0
Grant Whitaker	G	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

The Citadel

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carter Kingsbury	G	30	5-11	1-5	0-0	6	0	1	1	11
Eze Wali	G	30	3-7	1-3	3-4	7	2	0	0	10
Braxton Williams	F	17	3-8	0-2	2-2	3	0	0	0	8
Dante Kearse	F	18	3-4	1-2	0-0	5	1	1	0	7
Cassius Bonjasky	F	12	2-5	0-1	3-4	4	0	0	0	7
Keynan Davis	G	20	2-8	0-4	2-4	3	0	0	0	6
Simeon German	F	25	2-6	0-0	0-0	9	0	0	1	4
Logan Applegate	G	7	2-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Christian Moore	F	25	0-4	0-4	1-2	3	1	0	0	1
Marcos Gonzales	G	16	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Rowan Irelan	G	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.1Possessions60.1

116.5Offensive Efficiency96.5

96.5Defensive Efficiency116.5

20.0Net Efficiency-20.0

61.0%Effective FG%39.8%

60.8%True Shooting %43.5%

11.6%Turnover Rate20.1%

32.0%Free Throw Rate27.1%

44.0%3-Point Rate40.7%

2.29Assist / Turnover0.42

Game Summary

Bellarmine won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 60.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.