New Orleans

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.3%New Orleans

55.7%Mississippi State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMississippi State -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL160.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMississippi State -126

Mississippi State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Orleans 79

Projected Total160.0

Projected ScoreMississippi State 81

Team Comparison

New OrleansMetricMississippi State

47.1MMH Power Index44.6

107.0Offensive Efficiency107.4

109.6Defensive Efficiency113.2

-2.6Net Efficiency-5.8

0.2Strength of Schedule5.0

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.5

70.8Tempo72.3

50.5%Effective FG%51.6%

20.2%Turnover Rate16.1%

35.7%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

48.4%Free Throw Rate30.9%

-1.8Average Margin-4.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Orleans HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Orleans holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.1–44.6), defensive efficiency (109.6–113.2), net efficiency (-2.6–-5.8), recent form (0.4–-17.5).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.4–107.0), strength of schedule (5.0–0.2), shooting efficiency (51.6–50.5).

Final

New Orleans

78—81

Mississippi State

Mississippi State by 3 • 77.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New OrleansTEAM STATMississippi State

26-69FG28-65

38.0%FG%43.0%

10-273PT10-31

37.0%3PT%32.0%

16-17FT15-29

94.0%FT%52.0%

44Rebounds42

15Offensive Rebounds15

17Assists15

15Turnovers14

8Steals10

5Blocks5

22Fouls19

Player Box Score

New Orleans

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Coleton Benson	G	36	7-14	7-12	4-4	4	2	1	0	25
Churchill Abass	C	33	5-8	0-0	3-3	10	1	2	4	13
MJ Thomas	F	31	3-5	0-0	7-7	10	3	1	0	13
Jakevion Buckley	G	38	4-15	1-3	2-3	4	6	2	0	11
Panagiotis Pagonis	F	29	3-11	1-6	0-0	2	3	0	0	7
Enzo Boudouma	F	17	2-5	1-2	0-0	4	1	1	0	5
TJ Cope	G	20	1-5	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Irish Coquia	G	16	1-6	0-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Kedrick Osby	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	41	9-21	5-12	5-12	6	5	1	0	28
Ja'Borri McGhee	G	38	5-11	2-4	4-4	2	5	1	0	16
Amier Ali	G	22	6-9	3-6	1-3	5	1	1	0	16
Quincy Ballard	C	26	5-8	0-0	1-2	7	1	0	1	11
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	34	1-6	0-4	2-4	5	1	5	1	4
Jamarion Davis-Fleming	F	31	1-1	0-0	1-2	8	1	1	3	3
Brandon Walker	F	11	1-2	0-1	1-2	0	1	1	0	3
Dellquan Warren	G	9	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Achor Achor	F	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
King Grace	G	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.4Possessions77.4

100.8Offensive Efficiency104.7

104.7Defensive Efficiency100.8

-3.9Net Efficiency3.9

44.9%Effective FG%50.8%

50.6%True Shooting %51.4%

19.5%Turnover Rate18.0%

24.6%Free Throw Rate44.6%

39.1%3-Point Rate47.7%

1.13Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 77.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.