Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.3%Murray State

87.7%McNeese

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMcNeese -13.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMcNeese -713

McNeese

27-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 71

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreMcNeese 84

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricMcNeese

53.6MMH Power Index66.7

115.0Offensive Efficiency117.4

111.0Defensive Efficiency98.3

4.0Net Efficiency19.1

3.5Strength of Schedule-1.6

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency15.5

72.3Tempo66.0

54.0%Effective FG%52.2%

16.3%Turnover Rate13.9%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %37.1%

39.1%Free Throw Rate37.7%

2.9Average Margin12.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

McNeese HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMcNeese holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–53.6), offensive efficiency (117.4–115.0), defensive efficiency (98.3–111.0), net efficiency (19.1–4.0).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (3.5–-1.6), shooting efficiency (54.0–52.2), free throw rate (39.1–37.7).

Final

Murray State

60—73

McNeese

McNeese by 13 • 74.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATMcNeese

18-57FG29-70

32.0%FG%41.0%

9-333PT5-23

27.0%3PT%22.0%

15-26FT10-19

58.0%FT%53.0%

48Rebounds40

15Offensive Rebounds13

12Assists16

20Turnovers8

4Steals15

4Blocks5

18Fouls23

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mason Miller	F	21	4-6	4-5	2-2	5	0	0	1	14
Roman Domon	G	18	4-6	2-3	4-4	7	1	2	0	14
Layne Taylor	G	31	1-7	1-6	5-7	6	4	0	0	8
Brayden Shorter	G	16	2-11	2-11	0-0	1	2	1	0	6
JJ Traynor	F	23	2-5	0-2	1-2	2	2	0	0	5
Brock Vice	F	15	2-4	0-1	0-1	3	1	1	0	4
Javon Jackson	G	23	1-10	0-3	1-2	4	2	0	0	3
Fred King	C	20	1-2	0-0	1-6	12	0	0	3	3
KJ Tenner	G	10	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Mathis Courbon	G	19	0-3	0-2	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Dylan Anderson	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

McNeese

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyshawn Archie	G	20	7-13	2-5	1-1	1	1	2	0	17
Javohn Garcia	G	31	5-10	1-3	4-7	6	6	1	3	15
Larry Johnson	G	23	5-10	0-2	1-3	3	2	2	0	11
Garwey Dual	G	21	3-8	0-0	1-2	4	3	2	0	7
Carl Cherenfant	G	19	3-7	1-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	7
DJ Richards Jr.	G	25	1-5	1-2	2-4	5	1	2	0	5
Jacolb Fredson-Cole	F	22	2-10	0-5	0-0	6	2	3	1	4
Peitok Machar	F	20	2-2	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	0	4
Jerrell Colbert	F	19	1-5	0-2	1-2	2	0	2	1	3

Advanced Game Stats

74.2Possessions74.2

80.9Offensive Efficiency98.4

98.4Defensive Efficiency80.9

-17.5Net Efficiency17.5

39.5%Effective FG%45.0%

43.3%True Shooting %46.2%

26.9%Turnover Rate10.8%

45.6%Free Throw Rate27.1%

57.9%3-Point Rate32.9%

0.60Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

McNeese won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 74.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.