UTSA

5-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.8%UTSA

86.2%Abilene Christian

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAbilene Christian -13.1

PROJECTED TOTAL147.7

MODEL MONEYLINEAbilene Christian -625

Abilene Christian

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUTSA 67

Projected Total147.7

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 80

Team Comparison

UTSAMetricAbilene Christian

30.5MMH Power Index42.4

99.0Offensive Efficiency101.1

115.0Defensive Efficiency104.1

-16.0Net Efficiency-3.0

-1.2Strength of Schedule-1.4

-17.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.3

70.2Tempo69.6

45.9%Effective FG%48.9%

17.0%Turnover Rate20.6%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

29.9%Free Throw Rate42.0%

-11.3Average Margin-2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Abilene Christian HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAbilene Christian holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.4–30.5), offensive efficiency (101.1–99.0), defensive efficiency (104.1–115.0), net efficiency (-3.0–-16.0).

UTSA COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.2–-1.4), ball security (17.0–20.6).

Final

UTSA

50—61

Abilene Christian

Abilene Christian by 11 • 62.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UTSATEAM STATAbilene Christian

16-44FG20-58

36.0%FG%34.0%

3-153PT9-22

20.0%3PT%41.0%

15-27FT12-17

56.0%FT%71.0%

32Rebounds44

9Offensive Rebounds19

5Assists11

14Turnovers15

11Steals12

2Blocks5

15Fouls19

Player Box Score

UTSA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamir Simpson	G	36	5-13	2-6	6-9	5	1	3	0	18
Macaleab Rich	G	16	4-6	0-0	2-5	1	0	0	0	10
Austin Nunez	G	33	1-6	0-1	3-4	2	1	3	0	5
Kaidon Rayfield	F	21	2-4	0-1	1-2	1	1	1	0	5
Matheo Coffi	F	18	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Dorian Hayes	G	36	1-5	1-4	0-0	1	0	2	0	3
Baboucarr Njie	F	27	1-5	0-1	1-5	9	1	0	2	3
Brent Moss	G	13	0-3	0-2	2-2	0	0	2	0	2

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bradyn Hubbard	F	34	7-21	2-6	5-6	8	1	1	1	21
Christian Alston	G	14	4-7	3-4	3-4	3	0	0	1	14
Rich Smith	G	34	2-6	1-1	4-6	3	5	3	2	9
Yaniel Rivera	G	24	3-7	2-6	0-0	2	1	1	0	8
Zy Wright	G	10	1-4	1-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	3
Joseph Venzant	G	29	1-4	0-1	0-1	6	4	5	1	2
Ma'Shy Hill	F	24	1-2	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	0	2
Cbo Newton	G	15	1-5	0-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Joseph Scott	F	14	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cade Hornecker	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tylan Lewis	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.0Possessions62.0

80.6Offensive Efficiency98.4

98.4Defensive Efficiency80.6

-17.7Net Efficiency17.7

39.8%Effective FG%42.2%

44.0%True Shooting %46.2%

22.6%Turnover Rate24.2%

61.4%Free Throw Rate29.3%

34.1%3-Point Rate37.9%

0.36Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Abilene Christian won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 62.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.