Louisiana

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.8%Louisiana

83.2%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -11.5

PROJECTED TOTAL143.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -495

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisiana 66

Projected Total143.9

Projected ScoreUC Davis 78

Team Comparison

LouisianaMetricUC Davis

38.6MMH Power Index48.4

99.3Offensive Efficiency107.2

110.2Defensive Efficiency103.7

-10.9Net Efficiency3.5

1.5Strength of Schedule-1.9

-9.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

64.1Tempo72.4

47.1%Effective FG%52.3%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.7%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

29.5%Free Throw Rate41.5%

-7.0Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.4–38.6), offensive efficiency (107.2–99.3), defensive efficiency (103.7–110.2), net efficiency (3.5–-10.9).

Louisiana COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.5–-1.9), ball security (16.8–17.7), offensive rebounding (28.2–26.7).

Final

Louisiana

56—77

UC Davis

UC Davis by 21 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisianaTEAM STATUC Davis

20-60FG24-44

33.0%FG%55.0%

8-283PT7-18

29.0%3PT%39.0%

8-11FT22-32

73.0%FT%69.0%

33Rebounds36

12Offensive Rebounds6

7Assists13

14Turnovers10

4Steals4

2Blocks3

27Fouls10

Player Box Score

Louisiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joshua Lewis	F	24	3-5	3-5	2-2	3	0	0	0	11
Dorian Finister	G	34	3-11	0-4	3-3	5	1	1	0	9
Milan Mejia	G	30	3-9	3-7	0-0	2	1	0	0	9
Jeremiah Evans	F	16	4-6	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	9
De'Vion Lavergne	G	28	2-9	2-5	1-2	3	0	1	0	7
Jaxon Olvera	G	25	3-10	0-3	0-0	3	4	1	0	6
Dariyus Woodson	F	24	1-5	0-3	1-2	5	1	0	0	3
Kyran Ratliff	F	13	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	1	2
Todd Jones Jr.	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Mike Collins	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nils Cooper	G	30	6-8	0-1	6-11	5	2	2	0	18
Niko Rocak	F	28	5-7	2-3	4-4	5	2	0	3	16
Connor Sevilla	G	34	3-8	2-7	4-4	5	2	0	0	12
Marcus Wilson	G	31	3-6	2-3	3-3	4	2	0	0	11
Brayden Fagbemi	G	25	4-7	0-1	2-3	2	2	2	0	10
Isaiah Chappell	F	28	1-3	0-1	2-2	5	2	0	0	4
Jalen Stokes	G	5	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Chase Rawlins	G	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Omer Suljanovic	F	16	0-2	0-1	1-5	4	1	0	0	1
Abdullah Amzil	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

85.9Offensive Efficiency118.1

118.1Defensive Efficiency85.9

-32.2Net Efficiency32.2

40.0%Effective FG%62.5%

42.9%True Shooting %65.0%

20.8%Turnover Rate15.8%

18.3%Free Throw Rate72.7%

46.7%3-Point Rate40.9%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.