NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.1%NC State

60.9%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -2.9

PROJECTED TOTAL158.8

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -156

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 78

Projected Total158.8

Projected ScoreBoise State 81

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricBoise State

60.1MMH Power Index59.5

118.4Offensive Efficiency113.9

108.6Defensive Efficiency107.1

9.8Net Efficiency6.8

6.4Strength of Schedule4.2

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

70.2Tempo68.6

55.1%Effective FG%52.7%

13.1%Turnover Rate17.0%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

35.7%Free Throw Rate42.7%

6.9Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–59.5), offensive efficiency (118.4–113.9), net efficiency (9.8–6.8), strength of schedule (6.4–4.2).

Boise State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.1–108.6), recent form (5.2–-11.9), offensive rebounding (33.8–28.2).

Final

NC State

81—70

Boise State

NC State by 11 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATBoise State

27-54FG19-56

50.0%FG%34.0%

9-213PT11-33

43.0%3PT%33.0%

18-23FT21-32

78.0%FT%66.0%

36Rebounds38

7Offensive Rebounds14

15Assists11

10Turnovers15

13Steals2

7Blocks2

26Fouls18

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darrion Williams	F	30	7-13	2-5	0-0	3	1	0	0	16
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	33	4-8	0-1	3-6	12	0	1	1	11
Terrance Arceneaux	G	23	4-5	1-1	2-3	4	2	3	2	11
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	20	3-8	2-5	2-2	2	0	0	0	10
Matt Able	G	21	3-7	1-4	2-2	3	2	5	0	9
Tre Holloman	G	32	2-5	2-2	2-2	4	4	3	1	8
Quadir Copeland	G	22	2-5	0-1	4-5	3	3	0	1	8
Alyn Breed	G	12	1-2	1-2	2-2	2	2	1	0	5
Musa Sagnia	F	7	1-1	0-0	1-1	0	1	0	2	3

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Andrews	G	29	8-18	5-11	5-6	3	2	2	0	26
Pearson Carmichael	F	21	3-7	3-6	2-3	0	0	0	0	11
Javan Buchanan	F	31	2-10	0-4	6-7	9	2	0	0	10
RJ Keene II	G	26	3-5	2-3	0-0	5	0	0	1	8
Andrew Meadow	F	29	1-4	0-1	4-7	1	1	0	0	6
Drew Fielder	C	26	1-4	0-1	3-5	6	3	0	1	5
Aginaldo Neto	G	20	1-4	1-4	1-4	3	2	0	0	4
Dominic Parolin	F	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	0	0
Spencer Ahrens	F	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Julian Bowie	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bhan Buom	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

115.5Offensive Efficiency99.9

99.9Defensive Efficiency115.5

15.7Net Efficiency-15.7

58.3%Effective FG%43.8%

62.4%True Shooting %49.2%

14.7%Turnover Rate20.8%

42.6%Free Throw Rate57.1%

38.9%3-Point Rate58.9%

1.50Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

NC State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.