Samford

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

76.6%Samford

23.4%Georgia State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSamford -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINESamford -327

Georgia State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSamford 79

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 73

Team Comparison

SamfordMetricGeorgia State

54.1MMH Power Index38.9

113.5Offensive Efficiency101.3

108.3Defensive Efficiency107.5

5.2Net Efficiency-6.2

-2.9Strength of Schedule-1.7

14.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.9

69.5Tempo69.5

54.0%Effective FG%45.3%

13.3%Turnover Rate15.6%

25.3%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

42.5%Free Throw Rate37.4%

3.6Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Samford HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSamford holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–38.9), offensive efficiency (113.5–101.3), net efficiency (5.2–-6.2), recent form (14.0–-10.9).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–108.3), strength of schedule (-1.7–-2.9), offensive rebounding (28.2–25.3).

Final

Samford

78—63

Georgia State

Samford by 15 • 70.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SamfordTEAM STATGeorgia State

24-50FG16-62

48.0%FG%26.0%

7-223PT7-33

32.0%3PT%21.0%

23-34FT24-27

68.0%FT%89.0%

42Rebounds36

9Offensive Rebounds16

9Assists8

14Turnovers10

3Steals8

3Blocks2

21Fouls28

Player Box Score

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Faulkner	F	20	7-10	0-1	5-7	6	3	0	2	19
Jaxon Pollard	F	24	6-9	1-3	3-6	9	0	1	0	16
Cade Norris	G	38	3-6	2-4	5-6	8	2	2	0	13
Isaiah Campbell-Finch	G	38	3-10	1-6	5-7	3	3	0	0	12
Kam Martin	G	29	3-6	3-5	2-4	5	1	0	0	11
Judson Bjornstad	F	17	1-1	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	1	5
Will Shaver	C	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Zion Wilburn	G	26	0-7	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Tucker	G	32	6-15	0-4	9-11	4	1	1	0	21
Malachi Brown	G	38	3-12	3-7	8-8	1	3	2	0	17
Jakai Newton	G	21	3-10	1-5	3-4	7	0	3	0	10
Ayouba Berthe	G	34	1-7	1-7	2-2	2	1	0	0	5
Joah Chappelle	F	25	1-9	1-5	2-2	7	0	0	1	5
Trey Scott III	F	19	1-4	1-4	0-0	4	2	1	0	3
Christian Beam	C	17	1-4	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	1	2
Isaiah Sherrard	F	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
James Cooper	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.0Possessions70.0

111.4Offensive Efficiency90.0

90.0Defensive Efficiency111.4

21.4Net Efficiency-21.4

55.0%Effective FG%31.5%

59.0%True Shooting %42.1%

19.7%Turnover Rate14.5%

68.0%Free Throw Rate43.5%

44.0%3-Point Rate53.2%

0.64Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Samford won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 70.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.