Tennessee State

23-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.0%Tennessee State

40.0%UNC Asheville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee State -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -150

UNC Asheville

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee State 77

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreUNC Asheville 75

Team Comparison

Tennessee StateMetricUNC Asheville

55.4MMH Power Index47.2

110.9Offensive Efficiency107.5

102.7Defensive Efficiency106.8

8.2Net Efficiency0.7

-3.1Strength of Schedule-0.5

13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.5

72.4Tempo68.3

50.9%Effective FG%52.0%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.7%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %30.9%

34.7%Free Throw Rate40.2%

5.9Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–47.2), offensive efficiency (110.9–107.5), defensive efficiency (102.7–106.8), net efficiency (8.2–0.7).

UNC Asheville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.5–-3.1), shooting efficiency (52.0–50.9), free throw rate (40.2–34.7).

Final

Tennessee State

75—73

UNC Asheville

Tennessee State by 2 • 73.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tennessee StateTEAM STATUNC Asheville

29-66FG25-43

44.0%FG%58.0%

4-153PT5-9

27.0%3PT%56.0%

13-17FT18-28

76.0%FT%64.0%

32Rebounds30

14Offensive Rebounds7

14Assists9

15Turnovers23

18Steals9

1Blocks3

21Fouls15

Player Box Score

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aaron Nkrumah	G	37	7-17	2-3	2-4	6	5	9	0	18
Dante Harris	G	38	5-11	0-1	7-7	3	6	2	0	17
Travis Harper II	G	27	4-12	0-4	4-5	3	2	2	0	12
Kavien Jones	F	14	4-5	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	1	8
Carlous Williams	F	23	3-8	1-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	7
Antoine Lorick III	F	16	3-5	1-2	0-1	3	0	0	0	7
Jabrion Spikes	G	18	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	2	0	4
Jalen Pitre	F	27	1-4	0-0	0-0	6	1	2	0	2

UNC Asheville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kameron Taylor	G	35	8-13	2-2	5-8	3	2	2	3	23
Toyaz Solomon	F	30	8-11	0-0	5-8	9	1	1	0	21
Justin Wright	G	34	6-11	1-4	7-8	2	2	3	0	20
DJ Patrick	G	38	3-5	2-3	0-0	6	0	1	0	8
Myles Mayfield	F	27	0-2	0-0	1-4	5	2	2	0	1
Daniel Thomas	F	19	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Julian Clarke	PG	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Sage Tolentino	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Corey Jones	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.7Possessions73.7

101.8Offensive Efficiency99.1

99.1Defensive Efficiency101.8

2.7Net Efficiency-2.7

47.0%Effective FG%64.0%

50.6%True Shooting %64.8%

20.0%Turnover Rate31.8%

25.8%Free Throw Rate65.1%

22.7%3-Point Rate20.9%

0.93Assist / Turnover0.39

Game Summary

Tennessee State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 73.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.