Boston University

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

59.4%Boston University

40.6%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoston University -1.4

PROJECTED TOTAL153.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBoston University -146

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoston University 77

Projected Total153.6

Projected ScorePenn State 76

Team Comparison

Boston UniversityMetricPenn State

50.3MMH Power Index42.3

115.3Offensive Efficiency109.2

113.1Defensive Efficiency117.6

2.2Net Efficiency-8.4

-2.7Strength of Schedule5.3

11.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

65.4Tempo67.5

58.6%Effective FG%53.4%

17.7%Turnover Rate15.6%

27.4%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

32.2%Free Throw Rate34.6%

1.5Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boston University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoston University holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.3–42.3), offensive efficiency (115.3–109.2), defensive efficiency (113.1–117.6), net efficiency (2.2–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.3–-2.7), ball security (15.6–17.7), free throw rate (34.6–32.2).

Final

Boston University

87—96

Penn State

Penn State by 9 • 63.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boston UniversityTEAM STATPenn State

31-54FG30-52

57.0%FG%58.0%

16-343PT8-19

47.0%3PT%42.0%

9-13FT28-40

69.0%FT%70.0%

26Rebounds28

6Offensive Rebounds10

20Assists15

9Turnovers3

2Steals5

6Blocks1

31Fouls13

Player Box Score

Boston University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael McNair	G	28	10-15	7-11	1-2	5	2	0	0	28
Ben Roy	G	30	4-6	1-2	2-2	0	4	1	0	11
Azmar Abdullah	G	23	4-8	3-7	0-0	1	3	0	1	11
Sam Hughes	F	21	3-9	2-7	2-3	1	1	0	0	10
Ethan Okwuosa	G	19	3-6	3-6	0-0	3	1	0	2	9
Malcolm Chimezie	F	23	4-4	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	8
Chance Gladden	G	27	2-4	0-1	2-2	2	4	1	1	6
Ben Defty	F	22	1-2	0-0	2-4	8	3	0	1	4
Donte Tisinger Jr.	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Quinn Nielsen	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Reed	F	26	5-6	1-1	6-6	8	1	0	0	17
Melih Tunca	G	31	4-9	1-3	7-9	4	4	0	1	16
Ivan Juric	F	28	4-4	0-0	7-10	3	1	0	0	15
Kayden Mingo	G	31	5-9	1-3	3-7	4	4	2	0	14
Eli Rice	G	22	3-6	2-4	3-4	1	2	1	0	11
Freddie Dilione V	G	19	3-8	2-5	0-0	2	2	0	0	8
Dominick Stewart	G	18	3-5	1-3	1-2	0	0	2	0	8
Tibor Mirtic	F	13	2-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	5
Saša Ciani	F	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

63.6Possessions63.6

136.8Offensive Efficiency150.9

150.9Defensive Efficiency136.8

-14.2Net Efficiency14.2

72.2%Effective FG%65.4%

72.3%True Shooting %67.6%

14.2%Turnover Rate4.7%

24.1%Free Throw Rate76.9%

63.0%3-Point Rate36.5%

2.22Assist / Turnover5.00

Game Summary

Penn State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 63.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.