Old Dominion

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.4%Old Dominion

86.6%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -13.2

PROJECTED TOTAL153.6

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -646

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOld Dominion 70

Projected Total153.6

Projected ScoreVillanova 83

Team Comparison

Old DominionMetricVillanova

47.2MMH Power Index59.4

107.4Offensive Efficiency114.7

109.8Defensive Efficiency105.9

-2.4Net Efficiency8.8

-0.1Strength of Schedule4.4

4.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

70.9Tempo67.3

50.9%Effective FG%53.9%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.0%

26.1%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

35.2%Free Throw Rate31.4%

-1.7Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–47.2), offensive efficiency (114.7–107.4), defensive efficiency (105.9–109.8), net efficiency (8.8–-2.4).

Old Dominion COUNTERS WITHrecent form (4.1–-1.1), free throw rate (35.2–31.4).

Final

Old Dominion

75—89

Villanova

Villanova by 14 • 66.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Old DominionTEAM STATVillanova

24-53FG30-56

45.0%FG%54.0%

11-233PT10-26

48.0%3PT%38.0%

16-22FT19-26

73.0%FT%73.0%

29Rebounds34

7Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists16

10Turnovers7

4Steals6

1Blocks1

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Old Dominion

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Battle	G	34	4-7	2-4	9-10	3	2	3	0	19
Robert Davis Jr.	G	29	3-7	3-4	2-2	2	0	0	0	11
Jared Turner	F	23	3-6	3-6	1-2	3	1	0	0	10
Drew McKenna	G	21	4-6	0-0	0-0	7	4	0	0	8
Zacch Wiggins	G	15	3-7	1-4	0-1	0	0	0	0	7
LJ Thomas	G	34	2-10	1-2	1-3	6	5	1	0	6
Caelum Swanton-Rodger	F	13	2-5	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	6
Scottie Hubbard	G	23	2-4	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	1	5
Ben Nacey	F	5	1-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	3
Donovan Raymond	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Perkins	G	29	8-13	3-4	2-2	7	2	1	0	21
Acaden Lewis	G	29	8-12	2-4	2-3	3	4	2	0	20
Bryce Lindsay	G	34	4-10	2-6	2-4	3	3	0	0	12
Matt Hodge	F	23	2-5	1-4	7-10	7	0	0	1	12
Devin Askew	G	16	3-5	0-1	2-2	2	3	1	0	8
Tafara Gapare	F	30	2-5	0-2	2-3	6	3	1	0	6
Malachi Palmer	G	15	2-3	2-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Braden Pierce	C	13	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Zion Stanford	G	6	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Chris Jeffrey	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.5Possessions66.5

112.8Offensive Efficiency133.8

133.8Defensive Efficiency112.8

-21.1Net Efficiency21.1

55.7%Effective FG%62.5%

59.1%True Shooting %65.1%

15.0%Turnover Rate10.6%

41.5%Free Throw Rate46.4%

43.4%3-Point Rate46.4%

1.30Assist / Turnover2.29

Game Summary

Villanova won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 66.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.