Houston Christian

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.8%Houston Christian

75.2%Bellarmine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBellarmine -7.1

PROJECTED TOTAL152.4

MODEL MONEYLINEBellarmine -303

Bellarmine

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHouston Christian 73

Projected Total152.4

Projected ScoreBellarmine 80

Team Comparison

Houston ChristianMetricBellarmine

39.5MMH Power Index44.9

102.5Offensive Efficiency119.6

110.3Defensive Efficiency122.1

-7.8Net Efficiency-2.5

-0.6Strength of Schedule-2.8

-8.2Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

65.4Tempo66.9

49.9%Effective FG%60.0%

19.0%Turnover Rate15.3%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %22.7%

37.1%Free Throw Rate35.3%

-5.1Average Margin-1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bellarmine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBellarmine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.9–39.5), offensive efficiency (119.6–102.5), net efficiency (-2.5–-7.8), recent form (0.3–-8.2).

Houston Christian COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.3–122.1), strength of schedule (-0.6–-2.8), offensive rebounding (30.5–22.7).

Final

Houston Christian

69—74

Bellarmine

Bellarmine by 5 • 61.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Houston ChristianTEAM STATBellarmine

25-51FG25-42

49.0%FG%60.0%

10-233PT6-15

43.0%3PT%40.0%

9-24FT18-20

38.0%FT%90.0%

26Rebounds25

10Offensive Rebounds1

10Assists14

8Turnovers11

5Steals5

1Blocks3

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

Houston Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kylin Green	G	38	9-11	5-7	1-2	6	2	2	0	24
Elijah Brooks	G	35	7-13	0-0	3-7	6	3	1	0	17
Ryan Bartley	G	28	4-9	3-6	0-1	2	0	0	0	11
Trent Johnson	F	33	2-4	2-4	4-4	4	1	0	0	10
Demarco Bethea	F	23	2-6	0-2	0-2	2	1	1	0	4
Demari Williams	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Caleb Gaston	F	6	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Mambourou Mara	F	18	0-3	0-3	0-2	2	1	0	1	0
Nehikhare Igiehon	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-4	3	1	0	0	0
D'Aundre Samuels	G	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jack Karasinski	F	34	9-12	4-7	6-7	5	1	0	1	28
Brian Waddell	F	34	5-8	1-2	5-6	3	2	1	1	16
Kenyon Goodin	G	36	2-6	0-2	3-3	3	1	1	1	7
Michael Wilson Jr.	F	16	3-5	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	7
Grant Whitaker	G	14	2-2	0-0	2-2	2	2	0	0	6
Sam Donald	F	33	2-4	0-1	0-0	5	4	0	0	4
Myles Watkins	G	17	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	4
Darrius Bolden	G	16	0-2	0-1	2-2	1	3	2	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

61.0Possessions61.0

113.1Offensive Efficiency121.3

121.3Defensive Efficiency113.1

-8.2Net Efficiency8.2

58.8%Effective FG%66.7%

55.3%True Shooting %71.8%

13.2%Turnover Rate17.9%

47.1%Free Throw Rate47.6%

45.1%3-Point Rate35.7%

1.25Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Bellarmine won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 61.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.