Eastern Illinois

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.1%Eastern Illinois

88.9%Central Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -13.8

PROJECTED TOTAL147.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -801

Central Arkansas

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEastern Illinois 67

Projected Total147.5

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 81

Team Comparison

Eastern IllinoisMetricCentral Arkansas

39.9MMH Power Index54

99.6Offensive Efficiency113.9

104.4Defensive Efficiency105.2

-4.8Net Efficiency8.7

-2.4Strength of Schedule-3.9

-4.7Last 10 Net Efficiency9.8

67.4Tempo71.0

47.5%Effective FG%54.3%

18.5%Turnover Rate15.3%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

33.7%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-3.2Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–39.9), offensive efficiency (113.9–99.6), net efficiency (8.7–-4.8), recent form (9.8–-4.7).

Eastern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.4–105.2), strength of schedule (-2.4–-3.9), free throw rate (33.7–30.7).

Final

Eastern Illinois

60—81

Central Arkansas

Central Arkansas by 21 • 63.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Eastern IllinoisTEAM STATCentral Arkansas

22-51FG30-54

43.0%FG%56.0%

5-213PT13-30

24.0%3PT%43.0%

11-12FT8-13

92.0%FT%62.0%

22Rebounds33

5Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists20

12Turnovers12

5Steals7

2Blocks2

9Fouls11

Player Box Score

Eastern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zion Fruster	G	36	8-15	3-6	2-2	2	0	1	0	21
Terry McMorris	F	37	4-7	0-0	3-3	5	1	2	1	11
Kooper Jacobi	F	36	4-10	0-4	2-2	4	3	1	0	10
Preston Turner	G	29	3-6	2-5	0-0	3	3	1	1	8
Meechie White	G	25	2-6	0-2	3-3	5	2	0	0	7
Andrew Austin	F	13	1-4	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Malik Olafioye	G	16	0-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Markus Blackwell	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Prince Johnson	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Camren Hunter	G	31	7-10	4-6	1-1	4	2	1	0	19
Ty Robinson	G	29	6-12	1-5	5-7	7	4	0	0	18
Javion Guy-King	G	16	4-4	2-2	0-0	1	1	2	0	10
Luke Moore	G	34	3-10	2-7	0-0	3	8	3	0	8
Cole McCormick	F	23	3-5	1-3	1-1	1	2	1	0	8
Harry Beauchamp	G	14	2-3	2-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Malchiah Marable	F	22	2-4	0-0	1-4	9	0	0	2	5
Tyler Lee	G	13	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Truman Byrne	F	14	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Parker Applegate	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.5Possessions63.5

94.5Offensive Efficiency127.6

127.6Defensive Efficiency94.5

-33.1Net Efficiency33.1

48.0%Effective FG%67.6%

52.9%True Shooting %67.3%

18.8%Turnover Rate19.0%

23.5%Free Throw Rate24.1%

41.2%3-Point Rate55.6%

0.75Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Central Arkansas won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 63.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.