Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.1%Murray State

76.9%George Washington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorge Washington -8.7

PROJECTED TOTAL163.8

MODEL MONEYLINEGeorge Washington -333

George Washington

19-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 78

Projected Total163.8

Projected ScoreGeorge Washington 86

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricGeorge Washington

53.6MMH Power Index59.8

115.0Offensive Efficiency115.4

111.0Defensive Efficiency105.2

4.0Net Efficiency10.2

3.5Strength of Schedule3.1

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency0.9

72.3Tempo70.5

54.0%Effective FG%55.0%

16.3%Turnover Rate18.2%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %35.8%

39.1%Free Throw Rate35.6%

2.9Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

George Washington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGeorge Washington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–53.6), offensive efficiency (115.4–115.0), defensive efficiency (105.2–111.0), net efficiency (10.2–4.0).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (3.5–3.1), ball security (16.3–18.2), free throw rate (39.1–35.6).

Final

Murray State

96—95

George Washington

Murray State by 1 • 72.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATGeorge Washington

36-68FG31-61

53.0%FG%51.0%

10-253PT7-19

40.0%3PT%37.0%

14-19FT26-33

74.0%FT%79.0%

40Rebounds30

16Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists11

10Turnovers7

5Steals5

2Blocks2

24Fouls20

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Jackson	G	23	10-20	2-4	2-3	1	2	1	0	24
Roman Domon	G	32	5-11	1-4	4-4	8	3	1	0	15
Fred King	C	22	4-7	0-0	2-5	9	1	0	1	10
Mathis Courbon	G	16	3-3	2-2	2-2	1	1	0	0	10
Brayden Shorter	G	11	3-4	2-3	1-1	2	1	1	0	9
KJ Tenner	G	15	3-4	0-0	2-2	1	2	0	0	8
Mason Miller	F	29	2-4	2-4	0-0	5	0	1	0	6
Layne Taylor	G	25	3-10	0-6	0-0	4	4	1	0	6
JJ Traynor	F	15	2-4	0-1	1-2	5	0	0	1	5
Dylan Anderson	C	8	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Brock Vice	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

George Washington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rafael Castro	F	30	7-14	0-0	12-14	11	4	1	1	26
Garrett Johnson	F	30	6-10	2-4	3-4	3	0	0	0	17
Christian Jones	G	27	6-9	1-3	1-2	0	0	1	0	14
Trey Autry	G	28	4-6	3-5	0-0	1	3	0	0	11
Jean Aranguren	G	25	4-7	0-0	3-5	7	1	2	1	11
Bubu Benjamin	G	24	3-7	0-2	4-4	2	2	0	0	10
Tre Dinkins	G	19	1-3	1-3	3-4	2	0	1	0	6
Luke Hunger	F	10	0-4	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Tyrone Marshall Jr.	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.4Possessions72.4

132.6Offensive Efficiency131.2

131.2Defensive Efficiency132.6

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

60.3%Effective FG%56.6%

62.3%True Shooting %61.9%

14.1%Turnover Rate9.5%

27.9%Free Throw Rate54.1%

36.8%3-Point Rate31.1%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.57

Game Summary

Murray State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 72.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.