Northern Illinois

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.4%Northern Illinois

96.6%Austin Peay

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAustin Peay -21.9

PROJECTED TOTAL153.3

MODEL MONEYLINEAustin Peay -2841

Austin Peay

22-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 66

Projected Total153.3

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 88

Team Comparison

Northern IllinoisMetricAustin Peay

29.2MMH Power Index54.8

99.7Offensive Efficiency115.0

111.6Defensive Efficiency103.1

-11.9Net Efficiency11.9

-2.1Strength of Schedule-5.8

-28.8Last 10 Net Efficiency8.1

69.7Tempo71.0

48.5%Effective FG%53.9%

21.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

39.6%Free Throw Rate39.0%

-8.3Average Margin8.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.8–29.2), offensive efficiency (115.0–99.7), defensive efficiency (103.1–111.6), net efficiency (11.9–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.1–-5.8), offensive rebounding (31.7–30.3), free throw rate (39.6–39.0).

Final

Northern Illinois

59—77

Austin Peay

Austin Peay by 18 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IllinoisTEAM STATAustin Peay

25-60FG27-51

42.0%FG%53.0%

2-223PT10-23

9.0%3PT%43.0%

7-17FT13-22

41.0%FT%59.0%

30Rebounds38

12Offensive Rebounds9

5Assists17

11Turnovers10

6Steals8

1Blocks2

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gianni Cobb	G	20	5-8	1-3	1-5	1	2	0	0	12
Makhai Valentine	G	28	4-13	1-7	1-1	3	1	3	0	10
Gustav Winther	F	30	4-5	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	1	8
Daemar Kelly	G	21	3-10	0-3	2-2	4	1	1	0	8
Jao Ituka	G	12	3-6	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	6
Dylan Ducommun	G	25	2-8	0-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Taj Walters	G	21	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Hassan Washington	F	15	1-3	0-0	0-2	1	0	1	0	2
Ladji Kante	F	11	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Washington	G	7	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Carlos Coronado	G	6	1-2	0-1	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Stewart	G	3	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Jaylen Wharton	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Collin Parker	F	32	10-19	3-5	7-8	8	2	1	0	30
Tate McCubbin	G	38	4-9	3-7	2-3	6	4	0	0	13
Rashaud Marshall	F	34	5-6	0-0	2-7	9	1	3	1	12
Tyler Wagner	G	23	3-6	3-6	0-0	5	0	0	0	9
Matt Enright	PG	15	1-1	1-1	1-2	2	1	1	0	4
Zyree Collins	PG	10	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	4	0	0	3
Quan Lax	PG	20	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Ja'Corey Robinson	PG	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	2
Anton Brookshire	PG	11	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Creighton Morisch	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	1	0
Hansel Enmanuel	PG	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

91.0Offensive Efficiency118.8

118.8Defensive Efficiency91.0

-27.8Net Efficiency27.8

43.3%Effective FG%62.7%

43.3%True Shooting %62.7%

16.4%Turnover Rate16.0%

28.3%Free Throw Rate43.1%

36.7%3-Point Rate45.1%

0.45Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Austin Peay won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.