New Mexico State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.2%New Mexico State

78.8%UC Irvine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Irvine -9.6

PROJECTED TOTAL147.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Irvine -372

UC Irvine

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 69

Projected Total147.8

Projected ScoreUC Irvine 79

Team Comparison

New Mexico StateMetricUC Irvine

51.2MMH Power Index58.4

108.9Offensive Efficiency106.9

104.5Defensive Efficiency95.0

4.4Net Efficiency11.9

-0.7Strength of Schedule-1.0

-2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

68.9Tempo72.3

48.6%Effective FG%50.7%

15.2%Turnover Rate17.6%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

37.0%Free Throw Rate36.5%

3.1Average Margin8.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Irvine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Irvine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.4–51.2), defensive efficiency (95.0–104.5), net efficiency (11.9–4.4), recent form (10.0–-2.0).

New Mexico State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.9–106.9), strength of schedule (-0.7–-1.0), ball security (15.2–17.6).

Final

New Mexico State

57—45

UC Irvine

New Mexico State by 12 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New Mexico StateTEAM STATUC Irvine

18-48FG12-45

38.0%FG%27.0%

2-163PT2-16

13.0%3PT%13.0%

19-27FT19-29

70.0%FT%66.0%

42Rebounds25

13Offensive Rebounds6

5Assists4

21Turnovers18

6Steals9

3Blocks3

26Fouls21

Player Box Score

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jemel Jones	G	34	4-10	0-2	4-4	5	0	3	0	12
Jae'Coby Osborne	F	21	2-3	0-1	6-8	5	0	0	0	10
Gabe Pickens	G	25	4-7	1-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	9
Jayland Randall	G	25	3-8	0-2	1-2	8	1	0	1	7
Kyrese Mullen	F	17	2-5	0-2	3-6	8	0	0	0	7
Julius Mims	F	19	1-2	0-0	2-2	5	1	0	1	4
Anthony Wrzeszcz	G	20	1-5	1-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Chris Terrell	G	8	0-1	0-0	3-3	1	1	2	0	3
Elijah Elliott	G	14	1-6	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	1	2
Cyr Malonga	C	17	0-1	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	0	0

UC Irvine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Derin Saran	G	32	3-7	1-3	9-16	2	2	1	0	16
Jurian Dixon	G	31	4-15	1-5	1-2	3	0	3	0	10
Kyle Evans	F	20	2-4	0-0	3-3	6	0	1	2	7
Jovan Jester Jr.	G	17	1-6	0-4	1-2	1	0	1	0	3
Tama Isaac	G	22	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Andre Henry	G	20	0-5	0-3	2-2	3	1	1	0	2
Elijah Chol	F	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Akiva McBirney-Griffin	F	5	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Harrison Carrington	F	11	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Nes Emeneke	F	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	2	1	0
Ben Egbo	G	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

81.7Offensive Efficiency64.5

64.5Defensive Efficiency81.7

17.2Net Efficiency-17.2

39.6%Effective FG%28.9%

46.9%True Shooting %38.3%

30.5%Turnover Rate25.4%

56.3%Free Throw Rate64.4%

33.3%3-Point Rate35.6%

0.24Assist / Turnover0.22

Game Summary

New Mexico State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.