San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

67.7%San Diego State

32.3%Oregon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -210

Oregon

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 76

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreOregon 72

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricOregon

60.1MMH Power Index48.9

110.3Offensive Efficiency106.4

99.3Defensive Efficiency110.7

11.0Net Efficiency-4.3

3.8Strength of Schedule6.0

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

70.8Tempo66.7

53.2%Effective FG%49.9%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.8%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

39.6%Free Throw Rate36.9%

7.8Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–48.9), offensive efficiency (110.3–106.4), defensive efficiency (99.3–110.7), net efficiency (11.0–-4.3).

Oregon COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.0–3.8), offensive rebounding (31.6–30.8).

Final

San Diego State

97—80

Oregon

San Diego State by 17 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATOregon

39-58FG25-62

67.0%FG%40.0%

11-233PT12-28

48.0%3PT%43.0%

8-9FT18-22

89.0%FT%82.0%

34Rebounds26

8Offensive Rebounds14

22Assists17

15Turnovers13

7Steals4

6Blocks2

18Fouls8

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reese Dixon-Waters	G	28	9-13	4-7	0-0	1	2	0	0	22
BJ Davis	G	21	6-7	3-4	6-7	2	4	2	0	21
Magoon Gwath	F	22	6-8	1-1	0-0	6	0	2	4	13
Elzie Harrington	G	20	5-6	2-2	0-0	0	4	1	0	12
Miles Heide	F	20	4-4	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	8
Miles Byrd	G	26	3-7	1-4	0-0	4	3	1	1	7
Pharaoh Compton	F	19	3-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	6
Jeremiah Oden	F	15	2-4	0-2	2-2	5	1	0	0	6
Tae Simmons	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Taj DeGourville	G	16	0-4	0-2	0-0	4	4	0	1	0
Sean Newman Jr.	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Cam Lawin	G	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Oregon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jackson Shelstad	G	32	7-13	5-9	2-2	1	3	0	0	21
Kwame Evans Jr.	F	30	4-8	2-4	6-6	5	5	0	1	16
Nate Bittle	C	20	5-8	1-3	2-2	1	0	0	1	13
Devon Pryor	F	23	3-5	2-3	1-2	1	0	0	0	9
Wei Lin	G	10	2-7	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	5
Jamari Phillips	G	7	1-3	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Takai Simpkins	G	26	1-5	1-2	0-0	0	3	1	0	3
Dezdrick Lindsay	F	12	1-5	0-2	1-2	3	1	1	0	3
Oleksandr Kobzystyi	F	7	0-1	0-1	3-4	0	1	1	0	3
Ege Demir	C	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Sean Stewart	F	21	0-4	0-0	1-2	4	2	1	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

137.8Offensive Efficiency113.6

113.6Defensive Efficiency137.8

24.1Net Efficiency-24.1

76.7%Effective FG%50.0%

77.9%True Shooting %55.2%

21.7%Turnover Rate18.2%

15.5%Free Throw Rate35.5%

39.7%3-Point Rate45.2%

1.47Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.