Baylor

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.5%Baylor

65.5%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -5.7

PROJECTED TOTAL155.8

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -190

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBaylor 75

Projected Total155.8

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 81

Team Comparison

BaylorMetricSan Diego State

58.9MMH Power Index60.1

116.7Offensive Efficiency110.3

109.5Defensive Efficiency99.3

7.2Net Efficiency11.0

4.0Strength of Schedule3.8

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

69.7Tempo70.8

54.4%Effective FG%53.2%

16.4%Turnover Rate17.2%

37.5%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

34.8%Free Throw Rate39.6%

5.1Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–58.9), defensive efficiency (99.3–109.5), net efficiency (11.0–7.2), recent form (0.4–-2.2).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.7–110.3), strength of schedule (4.0–3.8), shooting efficiency (54.4–53.2).

Final

Baylor

91—81

San Diego State

Baylor by 10 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BaylorTEAM STATSan Diego State

30-57FG28-59

53.0%FG%47.0%

9-233PT11-26

39.0%3PT%42.0%

22-30FT14-17

73.0%FT%82.0%

36Rebounds29

10Offensive Rebounds6

18Assists20

9Turnovers10

6Steals5

1Blocks3

14Fouls22

Player Box Score

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Obi Agbim	G	37	5-10	4-8	4-5	2	4	2	0	18
Tounde Yessoufou	G	31	7-14	1-5	3-5	7	2	1	0	18
Cameron Carr	G	35	5-11	2-4	5-6	6	3	1	1	17
Isaac Williams IV	G	19	4-8	1-2	4-4	1	2	1	0	13
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	34	4-6	1-3	2-4	8	5	0	0	11
Michael Rataj	G	27	4-6	0-1	1-2	5	2	1	0	9
Caden Powell	C	17	1-2	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	0	5

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miles Byrd	G	27	5-12	2-8	1-1	4	2	0	0	13
Reese Dixon-Waters	G	23	4-12	3-9	1-1	0	4	2	0	12
Elzie Harrington	G	20	4-9	3-3	1-2	1	3	0	0	12
BJ Davis	G	21	4-7	0-2	3-3	2	1	1	0	11
Sean Newman Jr.	G	17	2-6	0-1	6-6	3	6	0	0	10
Taj DeGourville	G	15	2-3	1-1	2-2	1	3	1	0	7
Jeremiah Oden	F	17	2-3	2-2	0-0	7	0	0	0	6
Tae Simmons	F	13	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Pharaoh Compton	F	16	2-3	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	1	4
Miles Heide	F	22	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	1	0
Magoon Gwath	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

128.7Offensive Efficiency114.6

114.6Defensive Efficiency128.7

14.1Net Efficiency-14.1

60.5%Effective FG%56.8%

63.9%True Shooting %60.4%

12.8%Turnover Rate14.1%

52.6%Free Throw Rate28.8%

40.4%3-Point Rate44.1%

2.00Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Baylor won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.