St. John's

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.7%St. John's

46.3%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL159.6

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -116

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. John's 81

Projected Total159.6

Projected ScoreAuburn 79

Team Comparison

St. John'sMetricAuburn

70.3MMH Power Index64.4

114.4Offensive Efficiency118.8

97.6Defensive Efficiency113.0

16.8Net Efficiency5.8

5.5Strength of Schedule7.5

11.4Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

70.9Tempo69.8

51.3%Effective FG%53.1%

14.3%Turnover Rate14.5%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

41.1%Free Throw Rate43.8%

11.9Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–64.4), defensive efficiency (97.6–113.0), net efficiency (16.8–5.8), recent form (11.4–8.0).

Auburn COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.8–114.4), strength of schedule (7.5–5.5), shooting efficiency (53.1–51.3).

Final

St. John's

74—85

Auburn

Auburn by 11 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. John'sTEAM STATAuburn

23-60FG29-53

38.0%FG%55.0%

7-253PT6-14

28.0%3PT%43.0%

21-28FT21-25

75.0%FT%84.0%

32Rebounds35

19Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists16

14Turnovers12

5Steals9

2Blocks5

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zuby Ejiofor	F	35	6-11	1-2	11-13	6	2	0	1	24
Joson Sanon	G	30	5-10	4-7	2-3	2	0	2	0	16
Bryce Hopkins	F	28	2-11	0-5	5-7	7	2	0	0	9
Sadiku Ibine Ayo	F	15	3-7	1-3	0-0	1	1	2	0	7
Ian Jackson	G	15	3-5	0-2	1-1	3	0	0	0	7
Oziyah Sellers	G	34	1-7	1-5	1-2	1	3	0	0	4
Dillon Mitchell	F	31	2-7	0-1	0-0	4	4	1	1	4
Ruben Prey	F	5	1-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Dylan Darling	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tahaad Pettiford	G	37	10-19	3-8	4-4	4	2	3	1	27
Keyshawn Hall	F	35	5-11	1-3	9-12	8	4	0	1	20
Kevin Overton	G	38	3-7	1-2	5-5	3	5	2	0	12
KeShawn Murphy	F	22	4-6	1-1	0-0	6	1	1	2	9
Elyjah Freeman	G	37	3-4	0-0	2-2	6	1	1	0	8
Sebastian Williams-Adams	F	21	3-4	0-0	1-2	3	3	2	1	7
Kaden Magwood	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Emeka Opurum	C	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Simon Walker	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

111.1Offensive Efficiency127.6

127.6Defensive Efficiency111.1

-16.5Net Efficiency16.5

44.2%Effective FG%60.4%

50.5%True Shooting %65.5%

20.5%Turnover Rate18.5%

46.7%Free Throw Rate47.2%

41.7%3-Point Rate26.4%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Auburn won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.