Belmont

26-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.6%Belmont

54.4%Toledo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL161.1

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -119

Toledo

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBelmont 80

Projected Total161.1

Projected ScoreToledo 81

Team Comparison

BelmontMetricToledo

61.8MMH Power Index58.8

118.6Offensive Efficiency116.0

103.7Defensive Efficiency109.6

14.9Net Efficiency6.4

-0.2Strength of Schedule2.3

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency10.2

70.7Tempo69.8

60.7%Effective FG%55.1%

17.8%Turnover Rate14.6%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

32.7%Free Throw Rate30.3%

10.5Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–58.8), offensive efficiency (118.6–116.0), defensive efficiency (103.7–109.6), net efficiency (14.9–6.4).

Toledo COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.3–-0.2), recent form (10.2–10.0), ball security (14.6–17.8).

Final

Belmont

87—72

Toledo

Belmont by 15 • 71.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BelmontTEAM STATToledo

35-60FG26-59

58.0%FG%44.0%

15-303PT11-31

50.0%3PT%35.0%

2-3FT9-13

67.0%FT%69.0%

39Rebounds21

10Offensive Rebounds6

20Assists13

20Turnovers12

6Steals9

3Blocks2

13Fouls11

Player Box Score

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Lundblade	G	38	8-15	6-12	0-0	3	4	1	0	22
Sam Orme	F	33	7-12	4-8	0-0	7	4	2	1	18
Jabez Jenkins	G	26	5-7	2-2	0-0	5	1	0	0	12
Brigham Rogers	F	24	5-6	0-0	0-1	7	2	0	1	10
Nic McClain	G	23	4-9	1-2	0-0	4	4	0	0	9
Jack Smiley	G	19	2-5	2-4	0-0	3	4	1	0	6
Drew Scharnowski	F	16	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Isaiah West	G	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	1	2
Eoin Dillon	F	5	0-1	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Win Miller	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sean Craig	F	36	6-12	2-6	3-3	4	2	1	0	17
Austin Parks	C	19	5-9	1-2	4-6	5	0	1	1	15
Leroy Blyden Jr.	G	36	5-10	3-6	1-2	2	5	3	0	14
Sonny Wilson	G	37	5-11	2-6	1-2	0	4	1	0	13
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	26	2-8	2-5	0-0	1	1	2	0	6
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	24	2-5	1-3	0-0	3	1	1	1	5
Chris Riddle	F	5	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Will James Jr.	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Mynor Strong	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Tyler Ode	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
London Praytor	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.3Possessions71.3

122.0Offensive Efficiency101.0

101.0Defensive Efficiency122.0

21.0Net Efficiency-21.0

70.8%Effective FG%53.4%

70.8%True Shooting %55.2%

28.0%Turnover Rate16.9%

5.0%Free Throw Rate22.0%

50.0%3-Point Rate52.5%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Belmont won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 71.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.