Towson

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.1%Towson

60.9%UC San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC San Diego -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL140.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUC San Diego -156

UC San Diego

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTowson 68

Projected Total140.4

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 72

Team Comparison

TowsonMetricUC San Diego

54MMH Power Index53.4

106.7Offensive Efficiency108.4

101.9Defensive Efficiency100.7

4.8Net Efficiency7.7

0.5Strength of Schedule-1.3

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency5.4

64.9Tempo69.8

47.9%Effective FG%53.1%

15.9%Turnover Rate16.4%

36.6%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

30.5%Free Throw Rate33.2%

3.1Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (108.4–106.7), defensive efficiency (100.7–101.9), net efficiency (7.7–4.8), recent form (5.4–4.6).

Towson COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (54.0–53.4), strength of schedule (0.5–-1.3), ball security (15.9–16.4).

Final

Towson

73—87

UC San Diego

UC San Diego by 14 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TowsonTEAM STATUC San Diego

25-65FG32-53

38.0%FG%60.0%

9-293PT16-25

31.0%3PT%64.0%

14-17FT7-15

82.0%FT%47.0%

36Rebounds30

16Offensive Rebounds5

7Assists18

9Turnovers7

3Steals8

2Blocks1

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Towson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Tejada	G	37	10-19	2-5	5-5	4	3	0	0	27
Dylan Williamson	G	37	7-20	6-14	0-0	2	1	1	0	20
Jack Doumbia Jr.	F	19	3-9	0-1	5-6	5	1	0	0	11
Jaquan Womack	G	14	1-2	0-1	2-2	5	0	0	0	4
Chike Ndefo	G	16	1-3	0-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	3
Ryan Conway	G	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Tyler Schmidt	G	23	1-6	0-3	0-0	3	1	0	2	2
Mor Seck	C	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Caleb Embeya	F	14	0-0	0-0	1-2	4	1	1	0	1
Tyler Coleman	F	24	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Jaiden Cole	G	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ryan Skerry	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leo Beath	F	33	7-14	2-3	0-1	5	2	1	0	16
Aidan Burke	G	31	5-8	4-5	0-0	2	3	1	0	14
Emanuel Prospere II	G	19	4-5	1-2	2-3	4	1	3	0	11
Tom Beattie	G	33	4-7	2-3	0-3	2	6	1	0	10
Hudson Mayes	G	19	4-4	1-1	1-2	3	2	0	0	10
Bol Dengdit	F	21	3-6	1-2	2-2	3	1	1	1	9
Trap Johnson	G	17	2-2	2-2	2-4	5	0	0	0	8
Alex Chaikin	G	17	2-4	2-4	0-0	2	3	1	0	6
Cade Pendleton	F	8	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Dimitrije Vukicevic	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

113.9Offensive Efficiency135.7

135.7Defensive Efficiency113.9

-21.8Net Efficiency21.8

45.4%Effective FG%75.5%

49.9%True Shooting %72.3%

13.6%Turnover Rate11.3%

26.2%Free Throw Rate28.3%

44.6%3-Point Rate47.2%

0.78Assist / Turnover2.57

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.