App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.8%App State

62.2%Mercer

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercer -4.5

PROJECTED TOTAL149.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMercer -165

Mercer

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 72

Projected Total149.4

Projected ScoreMercer 77

Team Comparison

App StateMetricMercer

54.2MMH Power Index54.1

110.9Offensive Efficiency116.6

101.7Defensive Efficiency106.5

9.2Net Efficiency10.1

-4.2Strength of Schedule-4.4

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency1.2

64.9Tempo70.9

51.1%Effective FG%53.8%

15.2%Turnover Rate14.7%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

39.8%Free Throw Rate38.9%

6.0Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–54.1), defensive efficiency (101.7–106.5), strength of schedule (-4.2–-4.4), recent form (7.0–1.2).

Mercer COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.6–110.9), net efficiency (10.1–9.2), shooting efficiency (53.8–51.1).

Final

App State

67—75

Mercer

Mercer by 8 • 62.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATMercer

28-61FG24-59

46.0%FG%41.0%

4-213PT11-28

19.0%3PT%39.0%

7-13FT16-19

54.0%FT%84.0%

35Rebounds39

13Offensive Rebounds15

14Assists13

8Turnovers9

6Steals7

4Blocks1

16Fouls12

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kasen Jennings	G	34	5-12	3-7	3-4	2	4	2	0	16
Alonzo Dodd	G	25	5-11	0-3	1-3	6	2	0	0	11
Luke Wilson	C	21	5-7	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	3	10
Jason Clarke Jr.	G	21	3-5	0-1	2-3	0	2	0	0	8
Andrin Njock	F	32	3-4	0-1	0-1	7	3	1	1	6
Eren Banks	G	27	3-11	0-3	0-0	3	3	2	0	6
Chad Moodie	F	12	2-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	5
Jalen Tot	G	13	1-5	1-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	15	1-4	0-1	0-0	8	0	0	0	2

Mercer

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zaire Williams	G	32	8-13	5-10	0-0	5	1	1	0	21
Baraka Okojie	G	36	3-11	0-3	10-11	6	7	1	0	16
Armani Mighty	C	35	3-7	0-0	6-8	9	2	1	1	12
Brady Shoulders	G	30	2-8	2-4	0-0	7	2	1	0	6
Kyle Cuffe Jr.	G	17	2-9	2-5	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Quinton Perkins II	G	25	2-7	1-5	0-0	4	0	1	0	5
Connor Serven	F	15	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Tristan Gross	G	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

62.1Possessions62.1

107.9Offensive Efficiency120.8

120.8Defensive Efficiency107.9

-12.9Net Efficiency12.9

49.2%Effective FG%50.0%

49.9%True Shooting %55.1%

12.9%Turnover Rate14.5%

21.3%Free Throw Rate32.2%

34.4%3-Point Rate47.5%

1.75Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Mercer won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 62.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.