USC

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.8%USC

69.2%Arizona State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona State -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL158.9

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona State -225

Arizona State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUSC 77

Projected Total158.9

Projected ScoreArizona State 82

Team Comparison

USCMetricArizona State

48.3MMH Power Index51

108.5Offensive Efficiency108.1

107.6Defensive Efficiency110.9

0.9Net Efficiency-2.8

2.5Strength of Schedule7.0

-16.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.5

72.4Tempo70.6

50.7%Effective FG%51.3%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.1%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

45.3%Free Throw Rate40.2%

0.7Average Margin-1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

USC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUSC holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (108.5–108.1), defensive efficiency (107.6–110.9), net efficiency (0.9–-2.8), offensive rebounding (33.2–29.6).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (51.0–48.3), strength of schedule (7.0–2.5), recent form (-7.5–-16.0).

Final

USC

88—75

Arizona State

USC by 13 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

USCTEAM STATArizona State

34-57FG22-52

60.0%FG%42.0%

9-233PT8-25

39.0%3PT%32.0%

11-18FT23-27

61.0%FT%85.0%

32Rebounds21

12Offensive Rebounds9

16Assists10

12Turnovers11

4Steals5

4Blocks2

22Fouls16

Player Box Score

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	34	9-16	4-10	1-2	3	4	1	0	23
Jaden Brownell	F	15	6-11	3-7	1-1	1	0	0	0	16
Ezra Ausar	F	27	6-6	0-0	2-4	6	2	2	0	14
Jacob Cofie	F	30	4-6	0-1	3-3	8	4	0	3	11
Jordan Marsh	G	21	3-5	1-2	2-2	4	4	0	0	9
Terrance Williams II	F	24	3-5	0-2	1-1	3	1	0	0	7
Amarion Dickerson	G	24	1-2	1-1	1-5	5	0	1	1	4
Jerry Easter II	G	22	1-5	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Gabe Dynes	C	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Maurice Odum	G	35	4-12	4-9	5-6	2	4	0	0	17
Anthony Johnson	G	25	3-7	0-2	9-10	0	0	2	0	15
Massamba Diop	C	31	5-6	0-0	3-3	2	1	0	1	13
Santiago Trouet	F	28	5-10	0-3	3-4	5	1	1	1	13
Bryce Ford	G	28	2-8	2-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Noah Meeusen	G	23	2-5	1-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Andrija Grbovic	F	14	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Marcus Adams Jr.	F	4	0-0	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	2
Allen Mukeba	F	12	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	1	2	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

132.9Offensive Efficiency113.3

113.3Defensive Efficiency132.9

19.6Net Efficiency-19.6

67.5%Effective FG%50.0%

67.1%True Shooting %57.8%

18.3%Turnover Rate16.5%

31.6%Free Throw Rate51.9%

40.4%3-Point Rate48.1%

1.33Assist / Turnover0.91

Game Summary

USC won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.