South Florida

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.9%South Florida

54.1%VCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVCU -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL161.8

MODEL MONEYLINEVCU -118

VCU

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Florida 80

Projected Total161.8

Projected ScoreVCU 82

Team Comparison

South FloridaMetricVCU

68.8MMH Power Index65.7

117.3Offensive Efficiency116.4

101.6Defensive Efficiency103.3

15.7Net Efficiency13.1

1.8Strength of Schedule5.4

19.7Last 10 Net Efficiency6.0

74.5Tempo69.5

51.0%Effective FG%53.7%

14.9%Turnover Rate15.1%

38.0%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

41.8%Free Throw Rate42.9%

11.7Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Florida HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Florida holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.8–65.7), offensive efficiency (117.3–116.4), defensive efficiency (101.6–103.3), net efficiency (15.7–13.1).

VCU COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.4–1.8), shooting efficiency (53.7–51.0), free throw rate (42.9–41.8).

Final

South Florida

66—78

VCU

VCU by 12 • 72.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South FloridaTEAM STATVCU

26-67FG24-62

39.0%FG%39.0%

2-143PT7-23

14.0%3PT%30.0%

12-20FT23-32

60.0%FT%72.0%

39Rebounds47

13Offensive Rebounds16

12Assists10

9Turnovers11

7Steals5

5Blocks6

23Fouls19

Player Box Score

South Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Izaiyah Nelson	F	33	6-11	0-2	4-8	12	3	0	2	16
Josh Omojafo	G	37	5-10	0-0	4-5	4	1	0	1	14
CJ Brown	G	32	4-15	0-1	3-4	7	5	0	0	11
Wes Enis	G	19	2-8	1-4	1-2	2	0	0	0	6
Daimion Collins	F	16	3-6	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	1	6
Joseph Pinion	G	27	2-7	1-4	0-0	2	1	3	0	5
Isaiah Jones	F	23	2-6	0-2	0-0	2	0	3	1	4
Gavin Hightower	G	10	2-4	0-0	0-1	2	2	0	0	4
Caleb Sanders	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lazar Djokovic	F	31	4-7	1-2	11-18	8	2	1	1	20
Terrence Hill Jr.	G	18	4-7	2-5	5-5	2	2	0	0	15
Nyk Lewis	G	19	3-8	2-3	3-4	5	1	1	0	11
Barry Evans	F	33	5-10	0-2	0-0	10	0	1	0	10
Michael Belle	F	22	3-7	1-2	0-0	4	0	1	1	7
Jadrian Tracey	G	21	2-6	0-1	1-1	1	3	1	2	5
Brandon Jennings	G	16	1-5	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Ahmad Nowell	G	16	1-2	1-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	3
Tyrell Ward	G	15	1-8	0-4	1-2	5	1	0	0	3
Keyshawn Mitchell	F	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	2	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.4Possessions72.4

91.2Offensive Efficiency107.7

107.7Defensive Efficiency91.2

-16.6Net Efficiency16.6

40.3%Effective FG%44.4%

43.1%True Shooting %50.5%

12.4%Turnover Rate15.2%

29.9%Free Throw Rate51.6%

20.9%3-Point Rate37.1%

1.33Assist / Turnover0.91

Game Summary

VCU won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 72.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.