North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.9%North Dakota State

41.1%Jacksonville State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -143

Jacksonville State

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 74

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 73

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricJacksonville State

59MMH Power Index51.2

115.4Offensive Efficiency108.2

100.8Defensive Efficiency101.8

14.6Net Efficiency6.4

-4.6Strength of Schedule-2.3

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

69.6Tempo67.2

54.5%Effective FG%51.0%

15.5%Turnover Rate17.0%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

31.3%Free Throw Rate44.5%

10.1Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–51.2), offensive efficiency (115.4–108.2), defensive efficiency (100.8–101.8), net efficiency (14.6–6.4).

Jacksonville State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.3–-4.6), free throw rate (44.5–31.3).

Final

North Dakota State

56—43

Jacksonville State

North Dakota State by 13 • 62.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATJacksonville State

19-50FG13-50

38.0%FG%26.0%

8-233PT4-21

35.0%3PT%19.0%

10-17FT13-23

59.0%FT%57.0%

37Rebounds39

8Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists9

10Turnovers15

5Steals6

3Blocks2

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	27	4-8	2-4	0-3	5	2	0	0	10
Trevian Carson	G	33	3-6	2-4	1-2	5	1	2	1	9
Tay Smith	G	19	3-9	3-9	0-0	2	0	1	0	9
Noah Feddersen	F	26	2-7	0-1	4-4	9	3	0	1	8
Markhi Strickland	G	23	3-6	0-0	2-4	3	0	0	1	8
Andy Stefonowicz	G	36	2-9	1-4	2-2	2	6	1	0	7
Carson Smith	G	17	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Riley Massey	G	3	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Treyson Anderson	F	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	6	1	1	0	0
Max Majerle	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacoby Hill	G	33	3-8	0-0	3-6	2	1	0	0	9
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	21	2-9	1-1	4-6	8	0	1	0	9
AC Bryant	G	16	2-6	2-5	1-4	3	1	2	0	7
Aitor Anabitarte	F	5	2-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	0	6
Iaroslav Niagu	F	18	1-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	1	4
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	17	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Bencao Vungo	G	17	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	1	2
Emondrek Erkins-Ford	F	15	1-3	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	0	2
Toby Nnadozie	G	12	0-1	0-1	1-2	3	0	1	0	1
Jaye Nash	G	17	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Jamar Franklin	G	15	0-7	0-6	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Connor Loy	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Aidan Driggers	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Thomas Tut	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.0Possessions62.0

90.3Offensive Efficiency69.4

69.4Defensive Efficiency90.3

21.0Net Efficiency-21.0

46.0%Effective FG%30.0%

48.2%True Shooting %35.3%

16.6%Turnover Rate23.5%

34.0%Free Throw Rate46.0%

46.0%3-Point Rate42.0%

1.40Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

North Dakota State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 62.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.